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Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 17:53

Race 11

Class 2 GOOD 1800m Course B+2 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR 1.47.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C S Shum 2 9.3 N
2 0 LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 12 6.5 N
3 0 ENJOYING B/TT A Badel · W Y So 8 17.0 1-1/4
4 0 BELUGA Led early H M Chadwick · D J Hall 6 4.0 1-1/2
5 0 MONEY CATCHER K C Leung · F C Lor 1 12.0 2
6 0 BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 13 9.2 2-1/2
7 0 TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT Z Purton · J Size 9 4.2 3-1/2
8 0 TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly D Moor · W Y So 10 38.0 5
9 0 C P BRAVE B Shinn · A T Millard 7 12.0 6
10 0 SUPER FOOTBALL Closed strongly CP-/B1 H Bentley · K H Ting 11 39.0 6
11 0 HELENE LEADINGSTAR XB/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 5 63.0 7-1/4
12 0 S J TOURBILLON B A Hamelin · P F Yiu 4 127.0 8
13 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS B/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 3 15.0 9-1/4
— 0 SENOR TOBA J Moreira · C Fownes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY GO, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with LOOKING GREAT second and ENJOYING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite BELUGA finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHARITY GO—2. LOOKING GREAT+0.05L3. ENJOYING+1.25L4. BELUGA+1.5L5. MONEY CATCHER+2L6. BERLIN TANGO+2.5L7. TEMPEST EXPRESS+3.5L8. TIANCHI MONSTER+5L9. C P BRAVE+6L10. SUPER FOOTBALL+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick CHARITY GO (18.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHARITY GO 18.2% 5.48 1
2 0 TEMPEST EXPRESS 15.0% 6.66 7
3 0 BERLIN TANGO 12.6% 7.92 6
4 0 TIANCHI MONSTER 11.6% 8.61 8
5 0 BELUGA 11.1% 9.04 4
6 0 LOOKING GREAT 9.3% 10.81 2
7 0 C P BRAVE 5.5% 18.10 9
8 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS 4.4% 22.75 13
9 0 ENJOYING 4.2% 23.76 3
10 0 MONEY CATCHER 2.7% 36.40 5
11 0 SUPER FOOTBALL 2.4% 41.69 10
12 0 HELENE LEADINGSTAR 2.3% 43.27 11
13 0 S J TOURBILLON 0.6% 168.97 12
CHARITY GO — wonTEMPEST EXPRESSBERLIN TANGOTIANCHI MONSTERBELUGALOOKING GREATC P BRAVEDELIGHTFUL LAOSENJOYINGMONEY CATCHERSUPER FOOTBALLHELENE LEADINGSTARS J TOURBILLON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 93

PLACE

8 54

12 22.5

13 22.5

QUINELLA

12,13 271

QUINELLA PLACE

8,12 186

8,13 205

12,13 89.5

FORECAST

12,13 557

TIERCE

12,13,8 8,538

TRIO

8,12,13 1,653

FIRST 4

1,8,12,13 910

QUARTET

12,13,8,1 27,927

All pools (5 more)

10TH DOUBLE

4/12 283

4/13 28.5

3 PICK 1

A2 22

A3 —

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,13/8,12,13 149,587

SIX UP

8,10,12/1,3/3,4/5,12/4,13/12,13 432

10,12/1/3/12/4/12 15,329

1 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

12/4/12 829

12/4/13 82