Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 14:37
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.22.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 6.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER Closed strongly J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 11 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SCIENCE PATCH Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 4.2 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS Led early B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 55.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | EMBARKED Closed strongly B1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 130.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | NATURAL GOLD XB/SR1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 7 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART FOLKS CP- H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 12 | 92.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SOARING TOWER Closed strongly CP1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 7.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MOONLUCK Closed strongly H1 H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 14 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 7.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 91.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL TT D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 2 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | LUCK STAR L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 6 | 168.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | WAR EAGLE B1/TT1 R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 3 | 72.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. COUNTRY BOY, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with SOLAR PARTNER second and SCIENCE PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SOLAR PARTNER finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER | 23.1% | 4.32 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SCIENCE PATCH | 16.0% | 6.27 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY | 10.9% | 9.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SOARING TOWER | 10.5% | 9.54 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY MARYKNOLL | 8.2% | 12.20 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | MOONLUCK | 7.4% | 13.56 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | JADE PHOENIX | 7.1% | 14.10 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | WAR EAGLE | 5.1% | 19.58 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 4.4% | 22.60 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 2.5% | 40.19 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 1.8% | 56.71 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | NATURAL GOLD | 1.7% | 59.95 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | EMBARKED | 1.1% | 94.65 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCK STAR | 0.4% | 261.11 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 62.5
PLACE
4 17
5 21.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
5,9 99.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 60
4,9 34
5,9 41.5
FORECAST
5,9 249
TIERCE
5,9,4 907
TRIO
4,5,9 137
FIRST 4
2,4,5,9 1,090
QUARTET
5,9,4,2 17,211
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,9/4,5,9 1,768
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 17.5
4TH DOUBLE
9/5 342.5
9/9 50