Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 13:01
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MAXIMIZE HEART, ridden by V Borges and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with SPARKY STAR second and HAPPY DAILY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite HAPPY DAILY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly CP-/B2 1.22.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 3 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 9 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY QUALITY Closed strongly K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 44.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | PLIKCLONE L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 10 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER FAST Closed strongly XB/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 13 | 81.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | RING BELLS Closed strongly XB/B1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 11 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | BRAVE DREAMS Closed strongly H1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | MOERAKI B Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 5 | 3.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | CHEERFUL LEADER XB J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | MOON PEAKS Led early B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 14 | 85.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SNOWALOT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 22.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | SHINING RED SR1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 8 | 67.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | DAN IMPACT TT1 L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 4 | 174.0 | 18-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY | 28.7% | 3.49 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 12.2% | 8.19 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | MOERAKI | 11.4% | 8.76 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | BRAVE DREAMS | 7.5% | 13.40 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | PLIKCLONE | 6.9% | 14.58 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 5.6% | 17.80 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | SPARKY STAR | 5.2% | 19.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER FAST | 4.2% | 23.54 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | RING BELLS | 4.1% | 24.68 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | SNOWALOT | 3.9% | 25.36 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | DAN IMPACT | 3.2% | 31.32 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | SHINING RED | 2.7% | 36.46 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | MOON PEAKS | 2.6% | 38.44 | 11 |
| 14 | 7 | LUCKY QUALITY | 1.7% | 57.50 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 130.5
PLACE
1 14.5
12 40.5
13 32
QUINELLA
12,13 628
QUINELLA PLACE
1,12 91.5
1,13 74
12,13 196
FORECAST
13,12 1,547
TIERCE
13,12,1 6,607
TRIO
1,12,13 666
FIRST 4
1,7,12,13 7,625
QUARTET
13,12,1,7 215,544
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/12 180
3/13 1,648.5
3 PICK 1
A3 31.5
A1 —
A2 —