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Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 13:01

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly CP-/B2 1.22.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · C H Yip 3 13.0 1/2
2 0 SPARKY STAR Closed strongly D Moor · T P Yung 1 11.0 1/2
3 0 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · L Ho 9 3.0 1/2
4 0 LUCKY QUALITY Closed strongly K H Chan · C Fownes 2 44.0 2
5 0 PLIKCLONE L Currie · D J Hall 10 9.9 2-1/4
6 0 SUPER FAST Closed strongly XB/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui 13 81.0 2-1/2
7 0 RING BELLS Closed strongly XB/B1 R Maia · R Gibson 11 19.0 3
8 0 BRAVE DREAMS Closed strongly H1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 28.0 4-1/2
9 0 MOERAKI B Z Purton · C W Chang 5 3.6 4-1/2
10 0 CHEERFUL LEADER XB J Moreira · P F Yiu 12 7.1 6-1/4
11 0 MOON PEAKS Led early B/H H W Lai · Y S Tsui 14 85.0 8-1/4
12 0 SNOWALOT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan 7 22.0 8-3/4
13 0 SHINING RED SR1 B Shinn · D J Whyte 8 67.0 13-1/2
14 0 DAN IMPACT TT1 L Ferraris · W Y So 4 174.0 18-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MAXIMIZE HEART, ridden by V Borges and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with SPARKY STAR second and HAPPY DAILY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite HAPPY DAILY finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAXIMIZE HEART—2. SPARKY STAR+0.5L3. HAPPY DAILY+0.5L4. LUCKY QUALITY+2L5. PLIKCLONE+2.25L6. SUPER FAST+2.5L7. RING BELLS+3L8. BRAVE DREAMS+4.5L9. MOERAKI+4.5L10. CHEERFUL LEADER+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick HAPPY DAILY (28.7%) finished 3rd — the winner MAXIMIZE HEART was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HAPPY DAILY 28.7% 3.49 3
2 0 CHEERFUL LEADER 12.2% 8.19 10
3 0 MOERAKI 11.4% 8.76 9
4 0 BRAVE DREAMS 7.5% 13.40 8
5 0 PLIKCLONE 6.9% 14.58 5
6 0 MAXIMIZE HEART 5.6% 17.80 1
7 0 SPARKY STAR 5.2% 19.10 2
8 0 SUPER FAST 4.2% 23.54 6
9 0 RING BELLS 4.1% 24.68 7
10 0 SNOWALOT 3.9% 25.36 12
11 0 DAN IMPACT 3.2% 31.32 14
12 0 SHINING RED 2.7% 36.46 13
13 0 MOON PEAKS 2.6% 38.44 11
14 0 LUCKY QUALITY 1.7% 57.50 4
HAPPY DAILYCHEERFUL LEADERMOERAKIBRAVE DREAMSPLIKCLONEMAXIMIZE HEART — wonSPARKY STARSUPER FASTRING BELLSSNOWALOTDAN IMPACTSHINING REDMOON PEAKSLUCKY QUALITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 130.5

PLACE

1 14.5

12 40.5

13 32

QUINELLA

12,13 628

QUINELLA PLACE

1,12 91.5

1,13 74

12,13 196

FORECAST

13,12 1,547

TIERCE

13,12,1 6,607

TRIO

1,12,13 666

FIRST 4

1,7,12,13 7,625

QUARTET

13,12,1,7 215,544

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/12 180

3/13 1,648.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 31.5

A1 —