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Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 16:43

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with COPARTNER AMBITION second and CHARITY GRACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.22.04
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 1.22.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 12 2.7 1/2
2 5 COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 5 4.1 1/2
3 9 CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly XB-/B M F Poon · C S Shum 9 15.0 1-1/4
4 1 SHINING GEM B K C Leung · P F Yiu 4 14.0 2-1/4
5 7 HARMONY WIN WIN Led early SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 1 20.0 2-1/4
6 2 THE HULK Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes 14 22.0 2-1/2
7 4 SUPER TEN CP/XB B Shinn · D J Whyte 13 13.0 3
8 6 SOLID IMPACT Z Purton · D J Hall 7 6.0 3
9 8 LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B/H L Currie · K W Lui 11 228.0 3-3/4
10 14 HANDSOME TWELVE CP-/B1 D Moor · T P Yung 2 13.0 4-1/2
11 10 MASSIVE ACTION B1 A Badel · F C Lor 8 24.0 6-1/4
12 11 BLISSFUL LIFE TT H Bentley · K L Man 10 157.0 6-3/4
13 3 HAPPY ANGEL CP1 H W Lai · D A Hayes 3 183.0 7
14 13 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM XB- C Wong · Y S Tsui 6 253.0 8-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUNNING GLORY2. COPARTNER AMBITION+0.5L3. CHARITY GRACE+1.25L4. SHINING GEM+2.25L5. HARMONY WIN WIN+2.25L6. THE HULK+2.5L7. SUPER TEN+3L8. SOLID IMPACT+3L9. LUCKY GOLD+3.75L10. HANDSOME TWELVE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick RUNNING GLORY (22.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 RUNNING GLORY 22.4% 4.47 1
2 5 COPARTNER AMBITION 12.0% 8.36 2
3 6 SOLID IMPACT 11.8% 8.49 8
4 9 CHARITY GRACE 11.1% 9.00 3
5 7 HARMONY WIN WIN 8.9% 11.19 5
6 4 SUPER TEN 7.5% 13.27 7
7 10 MASSIVE ACTION 6.3% 15.98 11
8 14 HANDSOME TWELVE 5.8% 17.16 10
9 1 SHINING GEM 5.2% 19.18 4
10 2 THE HULK 4.2% 23.63 6
11 11 BLISSFUL LIFE 2.1% 47.78 12
12 3 HAPPY ANGEL 1.1% 90.59 13
13 13 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM 1.1% 93.71 14
14 8 LUCKY GOLD 0.5% 200.86 9
RUNNING GLORY — wonCOPARTNER AMBITIONSOLID IMPACTCHARITY GRACEHARMONY WIN WINSUPER TENMASSIVE ACTIONHANDSOME TWELVESHINING GEMTHE HULKBLISSFUL LIFEHAPPY ANGELARTHUR'S KINGDOMLUCKY GOLD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 27

PLACE

5 17

9 46

12 14

QUINELLA

5,12 62.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,9 119.5

5,12 28

9,12 85.5

FORECAST

12,5 104

TIERCE

12,5,9 1,052

TRIO

5,9,12 294

FIRST 4

1,5,9,12 459

QUARTET

12,5,9,1 5,101

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 16.5

A2

8TH DOUBLE

3/5 18.5

3/12 51.5