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Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 16:43

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.04
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly 1.22.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 12 2.7 1/2
2 0 COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 5 4.1 1/2
3 0 CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly XB-/B M F Poon · C S Shum 9 15.0 1-1/4
4 0 SHINING GEM B K C Leung · P F Yiu 4 14.0 2-1/4
5 0 HARMONY WIN WIN Led early SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 1 20.0 2-1/4
6 0 THE HULK Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes 14 22.0 2-1/2
7 0 SUPER TEN CP/XB B Shinn · D J Whyte 13 13.0 3
8 0 SOLID IMPACT Z Purton · D J Hall 7 6.0 3
9 0 LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B/H L Currie · K W Lui 11 228.0 3-3/4
10 0 HANDSOME TWELVE CP-/B1 D Moor · T P Yung 2 13.0 4-1/2
11 0 MASSIVE ACTION B1 A Badel · F C Lor 8 24.0 6-1/4
12 0 BLISSFUL LIFE TT H Bentley · K L Man 10 157.0 6-3/4
13 0 HAPPY ANGEL CP1 H W Lai · D A Hayes 3 183.0 7
14 0 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM XB- C Wong · Y S Tsui 6 253.0 8-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RUNNING GLORY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with COPARTNER AMBITION second and CHARITY GRACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUNNING GLORY—2. COPARTNER AMBITION+0.5L3. CHARITY GRACE+1.25L4. SHINING GEM+2.25L5. HARMONY WIN WIN+2.25L6. THE HULK+2.5L7. SUPER TEN+3L8. SOLID IMPACT+3L9. LUCKY GOLD+3.75L10. HANDSOME TWELVE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick RUNNING GLORY (22.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 RUNNING GLORY 22.4% 4.47 1
2 0 COPARTNER AMBITION 12.0% 8.36 2
3 0 SOLID IMPACT 11.8% 8.49 8
4 0 CHARITY GRACE 11.1% 9.00 3
5 0 HARMONY WIN WIN 8.9% 11.19 5
6 0 SUPER TEN 7.5% 13.27 7
7 0 MASSIVE ACTION 6.3% 15.98 11
8 0 HANDSOME TWELVE 5.8% 17.16 10
9 0 SHINING GEM 5.2% 19.18 4
10 0 THE HULK 4.2% 23.63 6
11 0 BLISSFUL LIFE 2.1% 47.78 12
12 0 HAPPY ANGEL 1.1% 90.59 13
13 0 ARTHUR'S KINGDOM 1.1% 93.71 14
14 0 LUCKY GOLD 0.5% 200.86 9
RUNNING GLORY — wonCOPARTNER AMBITIONSOLID IMPACTCHARITY GRACEHARMONY WIN WINSUPER TENMASSIVE ACTIONHANDSOME TWELVESHINING GEMTHE HULKBLISSFUL LIFEHAPPY ANGELARTHUR'S KINGDOMLUCKY GOLD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 27

PLACE

5 17

9 46

12 14

QUINELLA

5,12 62.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,9 119.5

5,12 28

9,12 85.5

FORECAST

12,5 104

TIERCE

12,5,9 1,052

TRIO

5,9,12 294

FIRST 4

1,5,9,12 459

QUARTET

12,5,9,1 5,101

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 16.5

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

3/5 18.5

3/12 51.5