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Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 13:31

Race 3

Class 3 GOOD 1000m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CORDYCEPS SIX, ridden by B Shinn and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/2, with ALCARI second and WHIZZ KID third. The 2.6 favourite WHIZZ KID finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 0.56.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 CORDYCEPS SIX B 0.56.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · R Gibson 7 3.8 1-1/2
2 4 ALCARI K Teetan · P F Yiu 12 11.0 1-1/2
3 11 WHIZZ KID B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 6 2.6 2-1/4
4 6 WAR WEAPON TT Z Purton · W Y So 13 7.8 2-1/2
5 9 WE ARE HERO M Chadwick · K L Man 8 10.0 4-1/4
6 3 EQUALETTA BLITZ B/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 73.0 5
7 5 COMING PATCH C L Chau · K H Ting 14 16.0 6-1/2
8 14 WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size 5 68.0 6-1/2
9 13 PHOENIX LIGHT A Badel · C H Yip 10 9.1 7
10 12 BRILLIANT PIONEER D Moor · C H Yip 11 49.0 8-1/4
11 8 HURRY HURRY GAIN CP C Y Ho · F C Lor 2 84.0 9-3/4
12 7 GINSON B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes 3 114.0 9-3/4
13 10 RISING FROM ASHES H1/TT1 M F Poon · K W Lui 1 62.0 10-3/4
14 2 GLORIOUS STARLIGHT H W Lai · Y S Tsui 4 164.0 22

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CORDYCEPS SIX—2. ALCARI+1.5L3. WHIZZ KID+2.25L4. WAR WEAPON+2.5L5. WE ARE HERO+4.25L6. EQUALETTA BLITZ+5L7. COMING PATCH+6.5L8. WILD WEST WING+6.5L9. PHOENIX LIGHT+7L10. BRILLIANT PIONEER+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick WHIZZ KID (38.3%) finished 3rd — the winner CORDYCEPS SIX was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 WHIZZ KID 38.3% 2.61 3
2 1 CORDYCEPS SIX 15.1% 6.63 1
3 6 WAR WEAPON 11.6% 8.59 4
4 4 ALCARI 8.6% 11.60 2
5 14 WILD WEST WING 4.6% 21.91 8
6 5 COMING PATCH 4.6% 21.95 7
7 8 HURRY HURRY GAIN 4.0% 25.13 11
8 10 RISING FROM ASHES 2.7% 36.76 13
9 9 WE ARE HERO 2.5% 39.92 5
10 13 PHOENIX LIGHT 2.3% 43.31 9
11 12 BRILLIANT PIONEER 2.1% 47.79 10
12 3 EQUALETTA BLITZ 1.2% 81.03 6
13 2 GLORIOUS STARLIGHT 1.2% 82.35 14
14 7 GINSON 1.2% 84.22 12
WHIZZ KIDCORDYCEPS SIX — wonWAR WEAPONALCARIWILD WEST WINGCOMING PATCHHURRY HURRY GAINRISING FROM ASHESWE ARE HEROPHOENIX LIGHTBRILLIANT PIONEEREQUALETTA BLITZGLORIOUS STARLIGHTGINSON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 38

PLACE

1 14

4 24

11 15.5

QUINELLA

1,4 163

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 51

1,11 24.5

4,11 53

FORECAST

1,4 302

TIERCE

1,4,11 649

TRIO

1,4,11 131

FIRST 4

1,4,6,11 157

QUARTET

1,4,11,6 3,328

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

13/1 791.5

13/4 264.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 15.5

A3 —

← Race 2 Race 4 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1000m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99