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Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 15:06

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 2000m Course B+2 13 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. SUPER HONG KONG, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A T Millard, won by 2, with ROBOT WARRIOR second and CHAMPION PAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 2.03.14
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT 2.03.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A T Millard 3 2.6 2
2 8 ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B H Bentley · P F Yiu 2 5.1 2
3 4 CHAMPION PAL Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan 9 7.0 2-1/2
4 11 FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT D Moor · D J Hall 8 20.0 3
5 6 VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan 4 15.0 3
6 3 NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · P F Yiu 11 18.0 6-1/4
7 9 LEGION OF MERIT B/TT K C Leung · W Y So 10 12.0 6-1/4
8 13 STAR OF GLORY B-/P2 M L Yeung · C W Chang 6 32.0 7
9 5 NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung 13 17.0 7-1/2
10 14 MISTER MONTE CP C Wong · C W Chang 7 14.0 9
11 7 AGILITY STAR H/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 1 110.0 10
12 1 AMAZING TEENS Led early H/TT V Borges · J Size 5 16.0 10-1/4
13 2 STIMULATION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 12 45.0 12
0 BIG BROOK J Moreira · C Fownes
10 STRATHMORETOO L Hewitson · A T Millard

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER HONG KONG2. ROBOT WARRIOR+2L3. CHAMPION PAL+2.5L4. FLYING MIGHTY+3L5. VICTORIOUS SEEKER+3L6. NATURAL STORM+6.25L7. LEGION OF MERIT+6.25L8. STAR OF GLORY+7L9. NEW FUTURE+7.5L10. MISTER MONTE+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick AMAZING TEENS (18.9%) finished 12th — the winner SUPER HONG KONG was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 AMAZING TEENS 18.9% 5.28 12
2 12 SUPER HONG KONG 13.4% 7.44 1
3 4 CHAMPION PAL 11.2% 8.92 3
4 9 LEGION OF MERIT 10.3% 9.75 7
5 8 ROBOT WARRIOR 10.0% 10.02 2
6 14 MISTER MONTE 6.9% 14.44 10
7 2 STIMULATION 5.7% 17.59 13
8 6 VICTORIOUS SEEKER 5.0% 20.05 5
9 5 NEW FUTURE 4.9% 20.33 9
10 11 FLYING MIGHTY 4.8% 20.70 4
11 3 NATURAL STORM 4.5% 22.44 6
12 13 STAR OF GLORY 3.5% 28.98 8
13 7 AGILITY STAR 0.9% 111.85 11
AMAZING TEENSSUPER HONG KONG — wonCHAMPION PALLEGION OF MERITROBOT WARRIORMISTER MONTESTIMULATIONVICTORIOUS SEEKERNEW FUTUREFLYING MIGHTYNATURAL STORMSTAR OF GLORYAGILITY STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 26.5

PLACE

4 19.5

8 19

12 14.5

QUINELLA

8,12 77

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 99

4,12 44

8,12 33

FORECAST

12,8 144

TIERCE

12,8,4 718

TRIO

4,8,12 220

FIRST 4

4,8,11,12 964

QUARTET

12,8,4,11 11,638

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 19

A2

5TH DOUBLE

5/8 85

5/10,12 304.5