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Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 15:06

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 2000m Course B+2 12 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B H Bentley · P F Yiu 2 5.1 2
3 0 CHAMPION PAL Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan 9 7.0 2-1/2
4 0 FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT D Moor · D J Hall 8 20.0 3
5 0 VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan 4 15.0 3
6 0 NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · P F Yiu 11 18.0 6-1/4
7 0 LEGION OF MERIT B/TT K C Leung · W Y So 10 12.0 6-1/4
8 0 STAR OF GLORY B-/P2 M L Yeung · C W Chang 6 32.0 7
9 0 NEW FUTURE Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · T P Yung 13 17.0 7-1/2
10 0 MISTER MONTE CP C Wong · C W Chang 7 14.0 9
11 0 AGILITY STAR H/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 1 110.0 10
12 0 AMAZING TEENS Led early H/TT V Borges · J Size 5 16.0 10-1/4
13 0 STIMULATION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 12 45.0 12
— 0 BIG BROOK J Moreira · C Fownes — — —
— 0 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard — 2.6 2
— 0 STRATHMORETOO L Hewitson · A T Millard — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ROBOT WARRIOR, ridden by H Bentley and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with CHAMPION PAL second and FLYING MIGHTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite SUPER HONG KONG did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. ROBOT WARRIOR+2L3. CHAMPION PAL+2.5L4. FLYING MIGHTY+3L5. VICTORIOUS SEEKER+3L6. NATURAL STORM+6.25L7. LEGION OF MERIT+6.25L8. STAR OF GLORY+7L9. NEW FUTURE+7.5L10. MISTER MONTE+9L11. AGILITY STAR+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 AMAZING TEENS 18.9% 5.28 12
2 0 SUPER HONG KONG 13.4% 7.44 —
3 0 CHAMPION PAL 11.2% 8.92 3
4 0 LEGION OF MERIT 10.3% 9.75 7
5 0 ROBOT WARRIOR 10.0% 10.02 2
6 0 MISTER MONTE 6.9% 14.44 10
7 0 STIMULATION 5.7% 17.59 13
8 0 VICTORIOUS SEEKER 5.0% 20.05 5
9 0 NEW FUTURE 4.9% 20.33 9
10 0 FLYING MIGHTY 4.8% 20.70 4
11 0 NATURAL STORM 4.5% 22.44 6
12 0 STAR OF GLORY 3.5% 28.98 8
13 0 AGILITY STAR 0.9% 111.85 11
AMAZING TEENSSUPER HONG KONGCHAMPION PALLEGION OF MERITROBOT WARRIORMISTER MONTESTIMULATIONVICTORIOUS SEEKERNEW FUTUREFLYING MIGHTYNATURAL STORMSTAR OF GLORYAGILITY STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 26.5

PLACE

4 19.5

8 19

12 14.5

QUINELLA

8,12 77

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 99

4,12 44

8,12 33

FORECAST

12,8 144

TIERCE

12,8,4 718

TRIO

4,8,12 220

FIRST 4

4,8,11,12 964

QUARTET

12,8,4,11 11,638

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 19

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

5/8 85

5/10,12 304.5