Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 12:34
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOOD BEAUTY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/2, with ONE STEP AHEAD second and TOWARDS SUCCESS third. The 3.3 favourite BEAUTY CHEERS finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT 1.10.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 14 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | TOWARDS SUCCESS TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 2 | 23.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | MASTERWORK C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 12 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | TRONIC MIGHTY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUNNY AND GOLD B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 4 | 7.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 3 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | GALLANT CAVALIER B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 11 | 52.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 13 | 9.9 | 4 |
| 11 | 1 | BEAUTY CHEERS Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 3.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | VECTOR B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | WINNING STRIKES B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 8.6 | 8 |
| — | 11 | ALLOY STAR J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 16.7% | 5.98 | 11 |
| 2 | 7 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 15.5% | 6.44 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 11.3% | 8.87 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | GOOD BEAUTY | 9.3% | 10.79 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 9.0% | 11.14 | 2 |
| 6 | 13 | WINNING STRIKES | 8.3% | 12.04 | 13 |
| 7 | 8 | TELECOM MISSILE | 7.5% | 13.26 | 10 |
| 8 | 14 | VECTOR | 6.8% | 14.76 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | MASTERWORK | 6.1% | 16.33 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 3.1% | 32.66 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 2.8% | 36.15 | 3 |
| 12 | 2 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 2.4% | 41.32 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 1.2% | 80.61 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 58.5
PLACE
3 19.5
4 62
12 38
QUINELLA
3,12 586
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 227
3,12 165.5
4,12 415
FORECAST
3,12 994
TIERCE
3,12,4 14,942
TRIO
3,4,12 3,689
FIRST 4
3,4,10,12 12,041
QUARTET
3,12,4,10 229,644
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 35