Sha Tin · 2022-02-03 · 14:03
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B 1.22.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 3 | 7.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS Closed strongly E/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO Closed strongly CP M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 10 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS V M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 9 | 6.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WIND N GRASS TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 78.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | IGNITING TT D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 1 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WILL POWER XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 7 | 42.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | BUDDIES Led early H C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 4 | 28.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-03 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CHEERFUL DAYS, ridden by A Badel and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT second and LUCKY EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 23.3% | 4.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 16.9% | 5.91 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER | 12.7% | 7.88 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 11.7% | 8.57 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | WILL POWER | 10.3% | 9.74 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | IGNITING | 6.3% | 16.00 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 4.8% | 20.82 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER MONTARO | 4.2% | 23.73 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | WIND N GRASS | 4.2% | 23.84 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | BUDDIES | 2.9% | 34.94 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 2.8% | 36.04 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 73
PLACE
2 14.5
4 14.5
9 18.5
QUINELLA
4,9 110
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 23
2,9 47
4,9 41
FORECAST
9,4 231
TIERCE
9,4,2 810
TRIO
2,4,9 91
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 222
QUARTET
9,4,2,7 6,013
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/4 28.5
1/9 270