沙田 · 2022-02-03 · 13:31
第 3場
2022-02-03沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、R Gibson訓練的CORDYCEPS SIX勝出，贏出1-1/2。ALCARI獲得亞軍；WHIZZ KID獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門WHIZZ KID跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CORDYCEPS SIX B 0.56.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 7 | 3.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | ALCARI K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | WHIZZ KID B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | WAR WEAPON TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 13 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | WE ARE HERO M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 73.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | COMING PATCH C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 14 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 68.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | PHOENIX LIGHT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 10 | 9.1 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | BRILLIANT PIONEER D Moor · C H Yip | D Moor | C H Yip | 11 | 49.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | HURRY HURRY GAIN CP C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 84.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | GINSON B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 3 | 114.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | RISING FROM ASHES H1/TT1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 1 | 62.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | GLORIOUS STARLIGHT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 164.0 | 22 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WHIZZ KID | 38.3% | 2.61 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 15.1% | 6.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | WAR WEAPON | 11.6% | 8.59 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | ALCARI | 8.6% | 11.60 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | WILD WEST WING | 4.6% | 21.91 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | COMING PATCH | 4.6% | 21.95 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | HURRY HURRY GAIN | 4.0% | 25.13 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | RISING FROM ASHES | 2.7% | 36.76 | 13 |
| 9 | 9 | WE ARE HERO | 2.5% | 39.92 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 2.3% | 43.31 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 2.1% | 47.79 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 1.2% | 81.03 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | GLORIOUS STARLIGHT | 1.2% | 82.35 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | GINSON | 1.2% | 84.22 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 38
PLACE
1 14
4 24
11 15.5
QUINELLA
1,4 163
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 51
1,11 24.5
4,11 53
FORECAST
1,4 302
TIERCE
1,4,11 649
TRIO
1,4,11 131
FIRST 4
1,4,6,11 157
QUARTET
1,4,11,6 3,328
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
13/1 791.5
13/4 264.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15.5
A3 —