跑馬地 · 2022-03-09 · 19:17
第 2場
2022-03-09跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的TAKE WHAT YOU NEED勝出，贏出3/4。CIGAR BUDDIES獲得亞軍；ONE STEP AHEAD獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門ONE STEP AHEAD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT 1.10.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | ONE STEP AHEAD B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 3 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | HANDSOME REBEL B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SUNNY SMILE H-/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 2 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | INESTIMABLE TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 10 | 52.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | EVER JOY BO-/XB/B1 V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 50.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | REGENCY POET B-/TT D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 11 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | RED BRICK GLORY XB L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | ISLAND SUNSHINE PC/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 6 | 8.9 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 11 | XIANG LAN QI M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 20.5% | 4.88 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 19.7% | 5.08 | 11 |
| 3 | 4 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 13.2% | 7.58 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | HANDSOME REBEL | 10.3% | 9.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 9.1% | 11.04 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | REGENCY POET | 7.3% | 13.78 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 6.5% | 15.46 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | RED BRICK GLORY | 4.6% | 21.69 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | EVER JOY | 3.2% | 31.52 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | INESTIMABLE | 3.1% | 32.60 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | SUNNY SMILE | 2.7% | 37.67 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 99
PLACE
3 24
6 19
8 13
QUINELLA
3,6 259.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 88
3,8 49.5
6,8 34
FORECAST
3,6 617
TIERCE
3,6,8 1,243
TRIO
3,6,8 148
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 231
QUARTET
3,6,8,1 7,275
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/3 236
4/6 33
6/3 139.5
6/6 16.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 25.5