跑馬地 · 2022-03-09 · 22:57
第 9場
2022-03-09跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、D A Hayes訓練的KING'S CAPITAL勝出，贏出3/4。DR WINNING獲得亞軍；READY PLAYER ONE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門EXCEPTIONAL NICE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KING'S CAPITAL 後段發力 1.49.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 10 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | DR WINNING 後段發力 TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | READY PLAYER ONE 後段發力 CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | DARCI JOY 後段發力 B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE E/B1/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SMILING TIME 後段發力 V/TT D Moor · K H Ting | D Moor | K H Ting | 11 | 82.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY 早段領放 H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 74.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | SAVVY KINGMAN Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 3.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | CINQUANTE CINQ B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | APACHE PASS 後段發力 BO/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | KING TOURBILLON TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 87.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | BARON ZEE B/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 2 | 162.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 25.7% | 3.89 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 23.9% | 4.18 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | APACHE PASS | 14.3% | 7.02 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | DARCI JOY | 9.8% | 10.19 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | DR WINNING | 8.5% | 11.82 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | KING'S CAPITAL | 5.5% | 18.21 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 4.4% | 22.51 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | READY PLAYER ONE | 3.4% | 29.74 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | SMILING TIME | 2.1% | 47.43 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | BEAUTY GLORY | 1.0% | 98.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | KING TOURBILLON | 1.0% | 103.98 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | BARON ZEE | 0.4% | 242.23 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 141.5
PLACE
5 47
8 23
11 22.5
QUINELLA
5,11 693
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 160.5
5,11 184.5
8,11 96
FORECAST
5,11 1,402
TIERCE
5,11,8 6,894
TRIO
5,8,11 1,034
FIRST 4
5,8,10,11 1,233
QUARTET
5,11,8,10 45,624
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 45.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,9/5,8,11 20,382
8TH DOUBLE
5/5 280
5/11 46.5
SIX UP
2,10/6,8/1,4/6,7/5,9/5,11 1,116
10/6/4/6/5/5 15,993
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/5/5 940
6/5/11 142