Happy Valley · 2022-03-09 · 22:57
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly 1.49.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 10 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | DR WINNING Closed strongly TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE E/B1/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 1 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT D Moor · K H Ting | D Moor | K H Ting | 11 | 82.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 74.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 3.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 87.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BARON ZEE B/TT M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 2 | 162.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-09 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. KING'S CAPITAL, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with DR WINNING second and READY PLAYER ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite EXCEPTIONAL NICE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 25.7% | 3.89 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 23.9% | 4.18 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | APACHE PASS | 14.3% | 7.02 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 9.8% | 10.19 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | DR WINNING | 8.5% | 11.82 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | KING'S CAPITAL | 5.5% | 18.21 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 4.4% | 22.51 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE | 3.4% | 29.74 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 2.1% | 47.43 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY | 1.0% | 98.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON | 1.0% | 103.98 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | BARON ZEE | 0.4% | 242.23 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 141.5
PLACE
5 47
8 23
11 22.5
QUINELLA
5,11 693
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 160.5
5,11 184.5
8,11 96
FORECAST
5,11 1,402
TIERCE
5,11,8 6,894
TRIO
5,8,11 1,034
FIRST 4
5,8,10,11 1,233
QUARTET
5,11,8,10 45,624
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 45.5
A1 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,9/5,8,11 20,382
8TH DOUBLE
5/5 280
5/11 46.5
SIX UP
2,10/6,8/1,4/6,7/5,9/5,11 1,116
10/6/4/6/5/5 15,993
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
6/5/5 940
6/5/11 142