Happy Valley · 2022-03-09 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly CP 1.50.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 11 | 3.4 | DH |
| 1 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH Closed strongly B/TT 1.50.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 6.5 | DH |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 8 | 23.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 12 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDER WIN K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK Led early B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | PRIME STAR B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 1 | 6.1 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | FULL POWER B-/XB B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 6 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 2 | 33.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 9 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | AGILITY STAR H/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 66.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN P-/CP1 A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 28.0 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-09 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY MISSILE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D J Hall, won by DH, with TELECOM CHEETAH second and SPEED FORCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 18.3% | 5.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 17.7% | 5.66 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | PRIME STAR | 14.7% | 6.81 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | WONDER WIN | 10.6% | 9.40 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 10.4% | 9.58 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 9.6% | 10.44 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 5.0% | 19.90 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 4.5% | 22.22 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | FULL POWER | 3.8% | 26.22 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 2.8% | 35.44 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 1.8% | 55.82 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | AGILITY STAR | 0.7% | 145.13 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 32.5
6 17
PLACE
4 23.5
6 14
10 53.5
QUINELLA
4,6 118.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 52
4,10 230
6,10 103.5
FORECAST
4,6 143
6,4 127
TIERCE
4,6,10 1,907
6,4,10 1,528
TRIO
4,6,10 799
FIRST 4
4,6,7,10 3,295
QUARTET
4,6,10,7 23,464
6,4,10,7 18,591
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22.5