Happy Valley · 2022-03-09 · 20:16
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-09 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SEIZING THE MOMENT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with PARTY WARRIOR second and FLAMING PASSION third. The 2.2 favourite PARTY WARRIOR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B1 1.09.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | PARTY WARRIOR H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | FAULDS CP-/XB1/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 1 | 42.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SUNSET WATCH B- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 81.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | MOONLIGHT VISTA B1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 17.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT B-/P1/TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 7 | 17.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PARTY WARRIOR | 32.7% | 3.06 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 27.9% | 3.59 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | YO BEAUTY | 8.2% | 12.19 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 6.5% | 15.43 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | FLAMING PASSION | 6.1% | 16.45 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | MOONLIGHT VISTA | 5.7% | 17.44 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 5.7% | 17.66 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | FAULDS | 2.7% | 37.29 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | SUNSET WATCH | 2.3% | 43.05 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 2.3% | 43.35 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 30
PLACE
2 11
9 30
10 13.5
QUINELLA
2,10 30.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 47
2,10 15.5
9,10 62
FORECAST
10,2 67
TIERCE
10,2,9 422
TRIO
2,9,10 100
FIRST 4
2,7,9,10 81
QUARTET
10,2,9,7 1,090
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/2 42
8/10 277