Happy Valley · 2022-03-09 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-09 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT SEVEN, ridden by M F Poon and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SUPER COMMANDER second and FABULOUS EIGHT third. The 3.5 favourite FABULOUS EIGHT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT 0.57.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.7 | N |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER COMMANDER B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 25.0 | N |
| 3 | 4 | FABULOUS EIGHT B-/TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 4 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | WILD WEST WING Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | WHAT A LEGEND B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 6.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | SEE U AGAIN D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 11 | 9.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER AXIOM H/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 6 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | FLYING DRAGON L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 10 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 12 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | NEXTMODEL TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 7 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 9 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ASTRO KING · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 17.4% | 5.75 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | WILD WEST WING | 12.1% | 8.27 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | SEE U AGAIN | 11.2% | 8.94 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | FLYING DRAGON | 11.0% | 9.07 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 10.9% | 9.13 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER AXIOM | 9.9% | 10.11 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | KA YING SPIRIT | 6.3% | 15.92 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | WHAT A LEGEND | 5.5% | 18.18 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER COMMANDER | 4.9% | 20.21 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 4.4% | 22.80 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | NEXTMODEL | 3.8% | 26.14 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 2.5% | 39.73 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 87
PLACE
4 16
8 33.5
12 62.5
QUINELLA
8,12 882.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 70
4,12 147
8,12 272
FORECAST
8,12 2,336
TIERCE
8,12,4 7,602
TRIO
4,8,12 1,065
FIRST 4
4,8,11,12 1,909
QUARTET
8,12,4,11 58,447
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/8 686.5
3/12 305
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A3 —
A1 —