Happy Valley · 2022-03-09 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HK DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 8 | 2.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 7 | 3.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Led early CP/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HERCULES Closed strongly XB/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 1 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | E LEGEND C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT B/TT D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 4 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | LAPUTA Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 12 | 31.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE H/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 134.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARIZARD B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 5 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 11 | 60.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 80.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | JUDY'S STAR B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 167.0 | 15-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. HK DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with SPARKY STAR second and NIMBLE NIMBUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPARKY STAR | 23.6% | 4.24 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HK DRAGON | 17.9% | 5.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 14.9% | 6.70 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | LAPUTA | 11.8% | 8.48 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | HERCULES | 10.4% | 9.61 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 5.1% | 19.56 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | E LEGEND | 4.9% | 20.40 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 3.4% | 29.60 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 3.1% | 32.28 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 3.1% | 32.58 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | JUDY'S STAR | 1.1% | 92.53 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 0.7% | 135.57 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 21
PLACE
1 17.5
6 12.5
7 13.5
QUINELLA
6,7 36
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 23
1,7 30
6,7 19
FORECAST
6,7 55
TIERCE
6,7,1 171
TRIO
1,6,7 48
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 154
QUARTET
6,7,1,3 1,220
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,8/1,6,7 1,268
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 13.5
6TH DOUBLE
4/6 122
4/7 33
TRIPLE TRIO
5,6,8/1,4,8/1,6,7 192,386
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,8/1,4,8/Any Combination 3,847