Happy Valley · 2022-03-09 · 19:17
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-09 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TAKE WHAT YOU NEED, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with CIGAR BUDDIES second and ONE STEP AHEAD third. The 3.4 favourite ONE STEP AHEAD finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT 1.10.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | ONE STEP AHEAD B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 3 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | HANDSOME REBEL B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SUNNY SMILE H-/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 2 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | INESTIMABLE TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 10 | 52.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | EVER JOY BO-/XB/B1 V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 50.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | REGENCY POET B-/TT D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 11 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | RED BRICK GLORY XB L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 12 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | ISLAND SUNSHINE PC/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 6 | 8.9 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 11 | XIANG LAN QI M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 20.5% | 4.88 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 19.7% | 5.08 | 11 |
| 3 | 4 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 13.2% | 7.58 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | HANDSOME REBEL | 10.3% | 9.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 9.1% | 11.04 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | REGENCY POET | 7.3% | 13.78 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 6.5% | 15.46 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | RED BRICK GLORY | 4.6% | 21.69 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | EVER JOY | 3.2% | 31.52 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | INESTIMABLE | 3.1% | 32.60 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | SUNNY SMILE | 2.7% | 37.67 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 99
PLACE
3 24
6 19
8 13
QUINELLA
3,6 259.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 88
3,8 49.5
6,8 34
FORECAST
3,6 617
TIERCE
3,6,8 1,243
TRIO
3,6,8 148
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 231
QUARTET
3,6,8,1 7,275
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/3 236
4/6 33
6/3 139.5
6/6 16.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 25.5