Happy Valley · 2022-03-09 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL MOOD TT1 1.10.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 3.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | FLAMING EAGLE B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 1 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | MOONLUCK V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | NATURAL GOLD SR/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SPONTANEOUS B C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | BABY B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 9 | 8.7 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | AMBITIOUS HEART B2/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 58.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | EVER FORCE B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 11 | 24.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-03-09 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. JOYFUL MOOD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won by N, with STREET SCREAM second and FLAMING EAGLE third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL MOOD | 36.7% | 2.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | NATURAL GOLD | 17.8% | 5.61 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 16.9% | 5.91 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | SPONTANEOUS | 5.6% | 17.82 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | STREET SCREAM | 5.4% | 18.51 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | MOONLUCK | 3.4% | 29.65 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | FLAMING EAGLE | 3.0% | 33.23 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | BABY | 2.9% | 34.22 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 2.6% | 39.12 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 2.3% | 43.74 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | EVER FORCE | 2.0% | 51.05 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | NORDIC COMBINED | 1.4% | 69.78 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 30.5
PLACE
5 44.5
6 15
8 34
QUINELLA
6,8 255
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 94
5,8 216
6,8 86
FORECAST
6,8 478
TIERCE
6,8,5 4,224
TRIO
5,6,8 782
FIRST 4
5,6,7,8 4,290
QUARTET
6,8,5,7 70,412
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,10/5,6,8 16,321
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 21.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/6 90
10/8 94