跑馬地 · 2022-03-09 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-03-09跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K L Man訓練的JOYFUL MOOD勝出，贏出N。STREET SCREAM獲得亞軍；FLAMING EAGLE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JOYFUL MOOD TT1 1.10.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 3.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | FLAMING EAGLE B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 1 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | MOONLUCK V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | NATURAL GOLD SR/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SPONTANEOUS B C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | BABY B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 9 | 8.7 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | AMBITIOUS HEART B2/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 58.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 25.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | EVER FORCE B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 11 | 24.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JOYFUL MOOD | 36.7% | 2.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | NATURAL GOLD | 17.8% | 5.61 | 7 |
| 3 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 16.9% | 5.91 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | SPONTANEOUS | 5.6% | 17.82 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | STREET SCREAM | 5.4% | 18.51 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | MOONLUCK | 3.4% | 29.65 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | FLAMING EAGLE | 3.0% | 33.23 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | BABY | 2.9% | 34.22 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 2.6% | 39.12 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 2.3% | 43.74 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | EVER FORCE | 2.0% | 51.05 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | NORDIC COMBINED | 1.4% | 69.78 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 30.5
PLACE
5 44.5
6 15
8 34
QUINELLA
6,8 255
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 94
5,8 216
6,8 86
FORECAST
6,8 478
TIERCE
6,8,5 4,224
TRIO
5,6,8 782
FIRST 4
5,6,7,8 4,290
QUARTET
6,8,5,7 70,412
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,10/5,6,8 16,321
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 21.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
10/6 90
10/8 94