跑馬地 · 2022-03-09 · 22:18
第 8場
2022-03-09跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的NERVOUS WITNESS勝出，贏出3-1/4。SPECIAL M獲得亞軍；WINNER METHOD獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NERVOUS WITNESS XB1 0.56.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 1.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | SPECIAL M B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 7.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | WINNER METHOD TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 5.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | MR COLOURFUL CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 5 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 8 | 116.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | VALIANT DREAM K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 7 | 63.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPY SHARING TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 86.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | THE RUNNER V B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 6 | 21.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 11 | 171.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | MAN STAR V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 190.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | PRIDE OF EIGHT H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 9 | 54.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 44.7% | 2.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | SPECIAL M | 16.9% | 5.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | WINNER METHOD | 12.4% | 8.04 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | THE RUNNER | 8.4% | 11.86 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | MR COLOURFUL | 3.9% | 25.87 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | VALIANT DREAM | 3.4% | 29.14 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE | 3.3% | 30.47 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | SUNNY BOY | 2.4% | 40.89 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | MAN STAR | 1.8% | 54.31 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | PRIDE OF EIGHT | 1.0% | 103.28 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | HAPPY SHARING | 0.9% | 116.45 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 0.8% | 125.24 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 17
PLACE
5 11.5
6 16.5
9 15
QUINELLA
5,9 42
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 19.5
5,9 19.5
6,9 38
FORECAST
5,9 71
TIERCE
5,9,6 196
TRIO
5,6,9 44
FIRST 4
3,5,6,9 65
QUARTET
5,9,6,3 737
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
6/5 39
6/9 25.5