跑馬地 · 2022-03-09 · 21:16
第 6場
2022-03-09跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、C Fownes訓練的LUCKY QUALITY勝出，贏出3/4。XPONENTIAL獲得亞軍；AUGUST MOON獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門PEAK TO PEAK跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY QUALITY V 1.10.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | XPONENTIAL B/TT J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | AUGUST MOON BO M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | PEAK TO PEAK B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY MATADOR B1/TT1 L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 6 | 83.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | STAR OF WUYI B/TT2 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 38.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SMART LEADER B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY FAT CAT C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 4 | 8.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | GLORIFIED FIRE K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 9 | 59.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | COMMON ROOM TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 5 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | AUGUST MOON | 20.4% | 4.90 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | PEAK TO PEAK | 14.2% | 7.04 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY QUALITY | 11.7% | 8.55 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | XPONENTIAL | 10.7% | 9.33 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | MELBOURNE HALL | 9.7% | 10.36 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 7.8% | 12.81 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | SMART LEADER | 6.3% | 15.81 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 5.9% | 17.02 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | COMMON ROOM | 5.6% | 17.80 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | STAR OF WUYI | 4.0% | 25.17 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 2.2% | 46.48 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | HAPPY MATADOR | 1.6% | 64.28 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 66
PLACE
1 22
4 18
8 18.5
QUINELLA
1,4 187.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 67
1,8 63.5
4,8 53
FORECAST
4,1 359
TIERCE
4,1,8 1,598
TRIO
1,4,8 261
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 170
QUARTET
4,1,8,11 4,377
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 27
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/1 39.5
6/4 156