沙田 · 2022-04-16 · 13:01
第 1場
2022-04-16沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的RED BRICK FIGHTER勝出，贏出2-1/2。AMAZING NEWS獲得亞軍；MISSION SMART獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門MISSION SMART跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | RED BRICK FIGHTER 後段發力 B 1.22.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 4.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | AMAZING NEWS 後段發力 XB/P1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | MISSION SMART 早段領放 CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 3.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT 後段發力 C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | VICTORIOUS LEADER 後段發力 H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 45.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | DRAGON BABY E/PC/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | MOONLUCK 後段發力 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 14 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | GOLDEN FOUR L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 1 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SICOMORO TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | VIVA CHEF P M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 5 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | STAR OF RED B/TT L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 7 | 21.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | SPEEDY DRAGON TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 11 | 18.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DRAGON BABY | 22.8% | 4.38 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 20.0% | 5.01 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 8.5% | 11.72 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | ERNEST FEELING | 8.3% | 12.09 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | MISSION SMART | 7.6% | 13.19 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 7.2% | 13.95 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | MOONLUCK | 5.1% | 19.66 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | STAR OF RED | 4.3% | 23.52 | 13 |
| 9 | 14 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 3.4% | 29.78 | 14 |
| 10 | 11 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 3.4% | 29.81 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLDEN FOUR | 2.8% | 35.23 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | VIVA CHEF | 2.7% | 37.00 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | AMAZING NEWS | 2.6% | 38.85 | 2 |
| 14 | 6 | SICOMORO | 1.5% | 67.01 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 44.5
PLACE
1 67
4 17
10 15
QUINELLA
1,4 417
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 138.5
1,10 162.5
4,10 43.5
FORECAST
4,1 667
TIERCE
4,1,10 3,364
TRIO
1,4,10 610
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 1,369
QUARTET
4,1,10,2 31,962
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 26