沙田 · 2022-04-16 · 15:03
第 5場
2022-04-16沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、T P Yung訓練的PERFECT MARYKNOLL勝出，贏出1-1/4。LOOKING COOL獲得亞軍；SACRED IBIS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.4倍大熱門RIGHT AS RAIN跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL 後段發力 B/TT 1.48.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 14 | 42.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | LOOKING COOL 後段發力 CP-/PC1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SACRED IBIS XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 1 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | RIGHT AS RAIN 後段發力 B J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 3 | 2.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS 後段發力 V C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 116.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | RED ELYSEES B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | LOTUS FAVORITES 後段發力 H A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 6.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNNY DELIGHT 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ROBOT WARRIOR B L Currie · P F Yiu | L Currie | P F Yiu | 7 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | EEVEE 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 13 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | GOD OF DRAGON 後段發力 B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPER ELEGANCE V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 31.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | PERFECT TO GREAT 早段領放 PC-/TT2 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 35.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LOOKING COOL | 27.8% | 3.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | RIGHT AS RAIN | 23.9% | 4.18 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 9.3% | 10.77 | 10 |
| 4 | 10 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 6.6% | 15.09 | 9 |
| 5 | 14 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 5.7% | 17.41 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 4.5% | 22.30 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | EEVEE | 3.9% | 25.38 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | RED ELYSEES | 3.9% | 25.94 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 3.5% | 28.76 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | SACRED IBIS | 3.3% | 30.53 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 3.2% | 30.81 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 2.1% | 47.55 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 1.3% | 74.76 | 5 |
| 14 | 1 | GOD OF DRAGON | 0.9% | 117.54 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 429
PLACE
2 16.5
5 55
6 93.5
QUINELLA
2,6 854.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 166
2,6 274
5,6 1,047.5
FORECAST
6,2 1,899
TIERCE
6,2,5 47,175
TRIO
2,5,6 6,426
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 2,971
QUARTET
6,2,5,7 132,861
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 29
4TH DOUBLE
10/2 130.5
10/6 4,575.5