Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-04-16 · 15:03

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1800m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.48.55
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · T P Yung 14 42.0 1-1/4
2 0 LOOKING COOL Closed strongly CP-/PC1 Z Purton · F C Lor 4 4.5 1-1/4
3 0 SACRED IBIS XB R Maia · A T Millard 1 23.0 2
4 0 RIGHT AS RAIN Closed strongly B J Moreira · C W Chang 3 2.4 2-1/2
5 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V C Wong · C H Yip 12 116.0 3
6 0 RED ELYSEES B/TT C L Chau · K L Man 10 17.0 3-1/4
7 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA CP/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 2 24.0 3-1/2
8 0 LOTUS FAVORITES Closed strongly H A Badel · D J Hall 9 6.8 4-3/4
9 0 SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 11 26.0 5-3/4
10 0 ROBOT WARRIOR B L Currie · P F Yiu 7 17.0 6
11 0 EEVEE Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 13 16.0 6
12 0 GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 6 21.0 6-3/4
13 0 SUPER ELEGANCE V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 8 31.0 7-3/4
14 0 PERFECT TO GREAT Led early PC-/TT2 K H Chan · C Fownes 5 35.0 7-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-16 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. PERFECT MARYKNOLL, ridden by H Bentley and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with LOOKING COOL second and SACRED IBIS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite RIGHT AS RAIN finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PERFECT MARYKNOLL—2. LOOKING COOL+1.25L3. SACRED IBIS+2L4. RIGHT AS RAIN+2.5L5. MURRAY'S PARTNERS+3L6. RED ELYSEES+3.25L7. TURQUOISE ALPHA+3.5L8. LOTUS FAVORITES+4.75L9. SUNNY DELIGHT+5.75L10. ROBOT WARRIOR+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LOOKING COOL (27.8%) finished 2nd — the winner PERFECT MARYKNOLL was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 LOOKING COOL 27.8% 3.59 2
2 0 RIGHT AS RAIN 23.9% 4.18 4
3 0 ROBOT WARRIOR 9.3% 10.77 10
4 0 SUNNY DELIGHT 6.6% 15.09 9
5 0 LOTUS FAVORITES 5.7% 17.41 8
6 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL 4.5% 22.30 1
7 0 EEVEE 3.9% 25.38 11
8 0 RED ELYSEES 3.9% 25.94 6
9 0 SUPER ELEGANCE 3.5% 28.76 13
10 0 SACRED IBIS 3.3% 30.53 3
11 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA 3.2% 30.81 7
12 0 PERFECT TO GREAT 2.1% 47.55 14
13 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS 1.3% 74.76 5
14 0 GOD OF DRAGON 0.9% 117.54 12
LOOKING COOLRIGHT AS RAINROBOT WARRIORSUNNY DELIGHTLOTUS FAVORITESPERFECT MARYKNOLL — wonEEVEERED ELYSEESSUPER ELEGANCESACRED IBISTURQUOISE ALPHAPERFECT TO GREATMURRAY'S PARTNERSGOD OF DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 429

PLACE

2 16.5

5 55

6 93.5

QUINELLA

2,6 854.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 166

2,6 274

5,6 1,047.5

FORECAST

6,2 1,899

TIERCE

6,2,5 47,175

TRIO

2,5,6 6,426

FIRST 4

2,5,6,7 2,971

QUARTET

6,2,5,7 132,861

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 29

A1 —

4TH DOUBLE

10/2 130.5

10/6 4,575.5