Sha Tin · 2022-04-16 · 14:01
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. UNICORNBABY, ridden by K H Chan and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with LUCKY GOLD second and FLYING SWORD third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite STUNNING IMPACT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | UNICORNBABY Wire to wire B/TT 1.23.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 11 | 27.0 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B/H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 6.3 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING SWORD B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 13 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly V/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 5 | 5.5 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | KING OF THE COURT Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 13 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BELL OF VICTORY B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 136.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPER HIGHWAY Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | COLONEL V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | SWIFT SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | POLARIS WINNER CP R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 8 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SPLENDID STAR L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 3 | 168.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 5 | BRILLIANT EIGHT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 180.0 | 10-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LUCKY GOLD | 32.7% | 3.06 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | STUNNING IMPACT | 17.9% | 5.60 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 10.3% | 9.70 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | FLYING SWORD | 7.5% | 13.38 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | SWIFT SPIRIT | 6.7% | 14.96 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | ROYAL PRIDE | 6.2% | 16.25 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | COLONEL | 5.1% | 19.51 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | KING OF THE COURT | 5.0% | 19.97 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | POLARIS WINNER | 4.0% | 25.21 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | UNICORNBABY | 2.7% | 37.11 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | BELL OF VICTORY | 1.0% | 101.95 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | SPLENDID STAR | 0.5% | 188.30 | 12 |
| 13 | 5 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 0.5% | 196.56 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 273.5
PLACE
1 21.5
4 28.5
7 56.5
QUINELLA
1,7 916
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 112.5
1,7 262
4,7 271
FORECAST
7,1 2,048
TIERCE
7,1,4 17,486
TRIO
1,4,7 2,430
FIRST 4
1,4,7,13 1,429
QUARTET
7,1,4,13 67,240
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/1 87
1/7 2,622.5
3 PICK 1
A3 32
A1 —
A2 —