Sha Tin · 2022-04-16 · 17:48
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-16 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DECRYPT, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1, with SUPER DYNAMITE second and SAUVESTRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SAUVESTRE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DECRYPT Closed strongly TT 1.21.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 6 | 24.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SAUVESTRE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly XB-/B/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 10 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | THE HULK Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 13 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | KILINDINI TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 11 | 26.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 1 | 21.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER WINNER Led early TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 5.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | EMERGING Closed strongly H1/TT1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 12 | 45.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | HARMONY WIN WIN SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 6 | HEZA BEAUTY B/E B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 4 | 50.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SAUVESTRE | 31.7% | 3.15 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 14.8% | 6.76 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 14.2% | 7.07 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | THE HULK | 7.9% | 12.69 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | KILINDINI | 5.8% | 17.35 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 4.8% | 20.88 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER WINNER | 4.0% | 24.95 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 3.9% | 25.46 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 3.6% | 27.95 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | DECRYPT | 3.0% | 33.04 | 1 |
| 11 | 13 | EMERGING | 2.3% | 43.64 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 2.2% | 45.44 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 1.9% | 53.29 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 246
PLACE
3 15
4 21
8 59
QUINELLA
4,8 885
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 38
3,8 137.5
4,8 240
FORECAST
8,4 2,168
TIERCE
8,4,3 7,804
TRIO
3,4,8 850
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 4,079
QUARTET
8,4,3,9 148,295
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,12/3,4,8 244,119
9TH DOUBLE
1/4 84
1/8 4,169.5
SIX UP
2,6/4,5/1,2/5,6,9/1,8/4,8 3,717
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
5,9/1/4 331
5,9/1/8 17,291