Sha Tin · 2022-04-16 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-16 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SO WE JOY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with APACHE PASS second and BEAUTY FIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite APACHE PASS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB 1.38.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 2 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | APACHE PASS Closed strongly BO/XB K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 3.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly B-/E/PC1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SKYEY SUPREME Led early B/TT C Wong · K W Lui | C Wong | K W Lui | 7 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly CP H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 8 | 68.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | A LA KING B-/V1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | LEAP OF FAITH P Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | INFINITE POWER CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 6.2 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY FIT | 22.7% | 4.40 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | LEAP OF FAITH | 16.6% | 6.03 | 10 |
| 3 | 4 | APACHE PASS | 16.2% | 6.16 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | INFINITE POWER | 10.8% | 9.23 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 9.0% | 11.16 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 7.3% | 13.72 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | SO WE JOY | 5.4% | 18.64 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | SKYEY SUPREME | 5.3% | 18.95 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | A LA KING | 3.9% | 25.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR | 1.8% | 56.02 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY ANGEL | 1.1% | 92.98 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 69.5
PLACE
1 19
4 13.5
5 25.5
QUINELLA
4,5 120.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 38
1,5 68.5
4,5 48
FORECAST
5,4 365
TIERCE
5,4,1 1,281
TRIO
1,4,5 157
FIRST 4
1,4,5,8 535
QUARTET
5,4,1,8 12,362
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 25.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/4 278
6/5 3,298.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,5,10/2,5,6/Any Combination 316,920