Sha Tin · 2022-04-16 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER Closed strongly B 1.22.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 4.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly XB/P1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | MISSION SMART Led early CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 3.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER Closed strongly H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 13 | 45.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DRAGON BABY E/PC/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MOONLUCK Closed strongly R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 14 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 1 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SICOMORO TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | VIVA CHEF P M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 5 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | STAR OF RED B/TT L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 7 | 21.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | SPEEDY DRAGON TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 11 | 18.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-16 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. RED BRICK FIGHTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 2-1/2, with AMAZING NEWS second and MISSION SMART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite MISSION SMART finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON BABY | 22.8% | 4.38 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 20.0% | 5.01 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 8.5% | 11.72 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 8.3% | 12.09 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MISSION SMART | 7.6% | 13.19 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 7.2% | 13.95 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | MOONLUCK | 5.1% | 19.66 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR OF RED | 4.3% | 23.52 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 3.4% | 29.78 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 3.4% | 29.81 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 2.8% | 35.23 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | VIVA CHEF | 2.7% | 37.00 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 2.6% | 38.85 | 2 |
| 14 | 0 | SICOMORO | 1.5% | 67.01 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 44.5
PLACE
1 67
4 17
10 15
QUINELLA
1,4 417
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 138.5
1,10 162.5
4,10 43.5
FORECAST
4,1 667
TIERCE
4,1,10 3,364
TRIO
1,4,10 610
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 1,369
QUARTET
4,1,10,2 31,962
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 26
A3 —