Sha Tin · 2022-04-16 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-16 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. RUN RUN COOL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with FLYING SEASON second and POWER KOEPP third. The 1.4 favourite FLYING SEASON finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL PC 0.56.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | FLYING SEASON B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 9 | 1.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | POWER KOEPP E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 68.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | RESOLUTE B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 8 | 37.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 25.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 60.0 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | TRADER CP/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 4 | 34.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 42.0 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 8 | MR COLOURFUL M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLYING SEASON | 32.8% | 3.05 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | RUN RUN COOL | 23.1% | 4.33 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 17.0% | 5.87 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | TRADER | 8.1% | 12.39 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | POWER KOEPP | 4.8% | 21.01 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 3.7% | 27.14 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 3.3% | 30.19 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | PING HAI GALAXY | 2.8% | 35.56 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | RESOLUTE | 2.3% | 44.35 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | UNITED WE STAND | 2.1% | 46.60 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 35.5
PLACE
1 10.5
2 13.5
9 37.5
QUINELLA
1,2 20
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 14
1,9 49.5
2,9 61.5
FORECAST
2,1 60
TIERCE
2,1,9 392
TRIO
1,2,9 92
FIRST 4
1,2,4,9 542
QUARTET
2,1,9,4 5,735
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,2,9 2,404
3 PICK 1
A1 10.5
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/1 24.5
5/2 219