沙田 · 2022-04-16 · 13:31
第 2場
2022-04-16沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由B Shinn策騎、C Fownes訓練的JAZZ ANGEL勝出，贏出2。SMART FOLKS獲得亞軍；UTOPIA LIFE獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門E BROTHER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JAZZ ANGEL 1.08.71 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | SMART FOLKS B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | E BROTHER B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 2.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | WISDOM PATCH PC/TT J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | TAKINGUFURTHER V C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 4 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | COOLCELEB B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | TEAM GOODLUCK CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 8 | 74.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | DASHING GENIUS B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 3 | 37.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR1/XB1/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 6.2 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | LE PLUS VITE CP/TT1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 10 | 52.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WISDOM PATCH | 25.2% | 3.97 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 16.3% | 6.15 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | E BROTHER | 13.7% | 7.32 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | COOLCELEB | 9.1% | 11.05 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | SMART FOLKS | 8.5% | 11.77 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | JAZZ ANGEL | 7.4% | 13.56 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | UTOPIA LIFE | 4.3% | 23.23 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 4.3% | 23.47 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 3.7% | 26.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | DASHING GENIUS | 3.7% | 27.07 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | LE PLUS VITE | 2.4% | 42.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 1.6% | 62.80 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 126
PLACE
1 33.5
2 53
12 28.5
QUINELLA
1,12 627
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 194
1,12 177.5
2,12 222.5
FORECAST
1,12 1,680
TIERCE
1,12,2 11,139
TRIO
1,2,12 1,968
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 1,490
QUARTET
1,12,2,7 40,978
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/1 514
4/12 142
3 PICK 1
A3 31.5
A1 —
A2 —