沙田 · 2022-05-01 · 15:06
第 6場
2022-05-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的MASSIVE ACTION勝出，贏出2-1/4。AMAZING VICTORY獲得亞軍；RATTAN KINGDOM獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASSIVE ACTION 一路領先 V 1.23.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY 後段發力 H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 8 | 9.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | RATTAN KINGDOM 後段發力 H-/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 2 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | NATURAL GOLD 後段發力 SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 6.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | INDIGENOUS REALM 後段發力 TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 71.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | IRON KING 後段發力 TT- H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 9 | 113.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 11.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | DIVINE ERA TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 6 | 19.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | POLARIS WINNER 後段發力 CP L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 13 | 55.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | GET THE MONIES C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 24.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE B/TT M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 159.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | KING'S TROOPER TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 39.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | BEAUTY NOVA B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 24.0 | 19-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASSIVE ACTION | 26.7% | 3.75 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | NATURAL GOLD | 15.5% | 6.44 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | VOYAGE STAR | 13.2% | 7.59 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY | 10.4% | 9.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | DIVINE ERA | 6.8% | 14.69 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY NOVA | 6.7% | 14.84 | 14 |
| 7 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY | 5.9% | 16.90 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 4.3% | 23.46 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | GET THE MONIES | 2.6% | 38.10 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | KING'S TROOPER | 2.5% | 39.79 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE | 1.7% | 57.43 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 1.5% | 68.02 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | POLARIS WINNER | 1.5% | 68.04 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | IRON KING | 0.7% | 138.70 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 21
PLACE
2 11
3 26.5
8 24
QUINELLA
2,3 109
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 45
2,8 47.5
3,8 139
FORECAST
2,3 179
TIERCE
2,3,8 1,130
TRIO
2,3,8 327
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 335
QUARTET
2,3,8,4 5,325
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
2,6/2 55.5
2,6/3 25