沙田 · 2022-05-01 · 13:01
第 2場
2022-05-01沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的CHEVAL VALIANT勝出，贏出N。NOBLE ONE獲得亞軍；HAPPY TRIO獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門WONDERFUL WARRIOR跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT 0.57.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.5 | N |
| 2 | 7 | NOBLE ONE H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 13 | 6.7 | N |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY TRIO SR L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 11 | 51.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | GOOD NEWS CP-/V1/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 8 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | NEXTMODEL B-/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 14 | 33.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | YOUNG HORIZON SB1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 6 | 32.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | WONDERFUL WARRIOR J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 2.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | JACK WIN B1/TT1 M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 12 | 81.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | AEROVERSARY B1 C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 104.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | GLORIFIED FIRE B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 39.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 3 | 9.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | TSUEN WAN GLORY B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 79.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WONDERFUL WARRIOR | 58.5% | 1.71 | 8 |
| 2 | 10 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 8.1% | 12.42 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | GOOD NEWS | 5.2% | 19.33 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | NOBLE ONE | 4.9% | 20.54 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | JACK WIN | 4.0% | 25.30 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | YOUNG HORIZON | 2.9% | 34.02 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | AEROVERSARY | 2.7% | 37.17 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA | 2.4% | 40.95 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | NEXTMODEL | 2.4% | 41.29 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 2.2% | 44.47 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | UNITED WE STAND | 2.1% | 46.89 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM | 2.0% | 49.52 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | HAPPY TRIO | 2.0% | 49.61 | 3 |
| 14 | 14 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 0.5% | 197.18 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 55
PLACE
7 25.5
9 104.5
10 17.5
QUINELLA
7,10 185
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 516
7,10 68
9,10 248
FORECAST
10,7 454
TIERCE
10,7,9 14,335
TRIO
7,9,10 2,623
FIRST 4
1,7,9,10 2,664
QUARTET
10,7,9,1 69,528
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/7 47
1/10 435.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16.5
A2 —