沙田 · 2022-05-01 · 16:06
第 8場
2022-05-01沙田第8場，Class 3，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由A Hamelin策騎、A T Millard訓練的NORDIC SKY勝出，贏出2-1/2。FIVE G PATCH獲得亞軍；VICTORY PARK獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.4倍大熱門INTREPID WINNER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NORDIC SKY 一路領先 SR/XB 2.03.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 8.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH 後段發力 TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | VICTORY PARK B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | RISE BRETHREN 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 4.8 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 3 | 4.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 7.6 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | S J TOURBILLON 後段發力 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | TOTAL POWER B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 8 | 39.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | VINCY SR/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 38.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | ENTRUSTED 後段發力 CP/TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 1 | 8.7 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | SMILING TIME V/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 4 | 8.7 | 13 |
| 12 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 32.0 | 20-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RISE BRETHREN | 29.5% | 3.39 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 15.1% | 6.63 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 10.2% | 9.77 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH | 7.1% | 14.04 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | VICTORY PARK | 7.0% | 14.32 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | SMILING TIME | 6.2% | 16.05 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | S J TOURBILLON | 5.2% | 19.21 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | NORDIC SKY | 4.2% | 23.74 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | TOTAL POWER | 4.2% | 24.02 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | ENTRUSTED | 4.1% | 24.27 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON | 3.9% | 25.39 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | VINCY | 3.2% | 31.28 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 86.5
PLACE
7 29.5
8 44.5
12 25.5
QUINELLA
7,12 447.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 193.5
7,12 132.5
8,12 197.5
FORECAST
12,7 1,001
TIERCE
12,7,8 10,559
TRIO
7,8,12 2,017
FIRST 4
1,7,8,12 1,869
QUARTET
12,7,8,1 53,646
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,11,12/7,8,12 214,560
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23
7TH DOUBLE
11/7 168.5
11/12 1,994