Sha Tin · 2022-05-01 · 16:06
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NORDIC SKY Wire to wire SR/XB 2.03.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 8.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | VICTORY PARK B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 4.8 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 3 | 4.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 7.6 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TOTAL POWER B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 8 | 39.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VINCY SR/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 38.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · W Y So | B Shinn | W Y So | 1 | 8.7 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING TIME V/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 4 | 8.7 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 6 | 32.0 | 20-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-01 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. NORDIC SKY, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by A T Millard, won by 2-1/2, with FIVE G PATCH second and VICTORY PARK third. The winner led throughout. The 4.4 favourite INTREPID WINNER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RISE BRETHREN | 29.5% | 3.39 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | INTREPID WINNER | 15.1% | 6.63 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 10.2% | 9.77 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | FIVE G PATCH | 7.1% | 14.04 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | VICTORY PARK | 7.0% | 14.32 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 6.2% | 16.05 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 5.2% | 19.21 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | NORDIC SKY | 4.2% | 23.74 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 4.2% | 24.02 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | ENTRUSTED | 4.1% | 24.27 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 3.9% | 25.39 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | VINCY | 3.2% | 31.28 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 86.5
PLACE
7 29.5
8 44.5
12 25.5
QUINELLA
7,12 447.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 193.5
7,12 132.5
8,12 197.5
FORECAST
12,7 1,001
TIERCE
12,7,8 10,559
TRIO
7,8,12 2,017
FIRST 4
1,7,8,12 1,869
QUARTET
12,7,8,1 53,646
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,11,12/7,8,12 214,560
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 23
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
11/7 168.5
11/12 1,994