Sha Tin · 2022-05-01 · 14:06

Race 4

Class 3 GOOD TO YIELDING 1400m Course B 8 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.85

Pos	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly 1.22.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes	J Moreira	C Fownes	3	127 lb	1.6	N
2	WINNER METHOD Led early TT K Teetan · C S Shum	K Teetan	C S Shum	2	133 lb	6.2	N
3	EN POINTE CP Z Purton · F C Lor	Z Purton	F C Lor	4	126 lb	4.3	4
4	POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly M F Poon · P F Yiu	M F Poon	P F Yiu	8	117 lb	37.0	6-3/4
6	COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size	A Badel	J Size	9	116 lb	30.0	9-1/4
7	CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte	L Hewitson	D J Whyte	6	123 lb	40.0	10-1/2
8	COMING PATCH CP-/H/B1 H Bentley · K H Ting	H Bentley	K H Ting	1	119 lb	80.0	12
9	EZRA B H T Mo · A T Millard	H T Mo	A T Millard	7	114 lb	71.0	12-1/4
—	PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly SR B Shinn · D J Whyte	B Shinn	D J Whyte	—	—	11.0	7-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. GALAXY WITNESS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with WINNER METHOD second and EN POINTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22

The model's top pick GALAXY WITNESS (45.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	GALAXY WITNESS	45.2%	2.21	1	1.6
2	EN POINTE	29.9%	3.34	3	4.3
3	WINNER METHOD	11.2%	8.94	2	6.2
4	PRINCE ALEX	4.8%	20.97	—	11.0
5	COUNTRY BOY	3.6%	27.62	6	30.0
6	POWERFUL WINGS	2.0%	50.54	4	37.0
7	COMING PATCH	1.2%	81.94	8	80.0
8	EZRA	1.2%	82.76	9	71.0
9	CLASSIC ARCHI	0.9%	107.74	7	40.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 16

PLACE

1 13.5

3 11

4 12

QUINELLA

1,3 46

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 20

1,4 27.5

3,4 15.5

FORECAST

3,1 64

TIERCE

3,1,4 140

TRIO

1,3,4 37

FIRST 4

1,3,4,7 139

QUARTET

3,1,4,7 1,140

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 16

A2 —

A3 —

3RD DOUBLE

2/1 23.5

2/3 24.5

← Race 3 Race 5 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data