Sha Tin · 2022-05-01 · 16:37
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FREE FOAL Closed strongly CP 1.24.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 4 | 14.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MY INTELLIGENT Closed strongly TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 14 | 5.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | PLIKCLONE Closed strongly A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 3 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY DAY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 9 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE Closed strongly CP1/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 7 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION CP1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 12 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | AURORA HERO Closed strongly K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 108.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 8 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | TUNG HAYE HAYE Closed strongly B/XB/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 13 | 179.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DOUBLE SIX POP A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 2 | 4.4 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER HORNET B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 12.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER Led early B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER CP Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 11.0 | 71-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly P1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | — | 24.0 | 1 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. FREE FOAL, ridden by B Shinn and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with MY INTELLIGENT second and PLIKCLONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite HAPPY DAY finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY DAY | 23.1% | 4.32 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER | 14.3% | 6.97 | 14 |
| 3 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 13.9% | 7.18 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MY INTELLIGENT | 10.9% | 9.16 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | DOUBLE SIX POP | 7.5% | 13.25 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL | 5.8% | 17.13 | — |
| 7 | 0 | PLIKCLONE | 5.8% | 17.15 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 5.8% | 17.18 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 3.2% | 31.54 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.0% | 33.84 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 2.6% | 38.45 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | AURORA HERO | 1.8% | 54.30 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 1.5% | 66.26 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | TUNG HAYE HAYE | 0.6% | 179.10 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 142.5
PLACE
5 39
10 20
12 36
QUINELLA
5,10 414.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 133.5
5,12 207
10,12 116
FORECAST
5,10 1,282
TIERCE
5,10,12 8,031
TRIO
5,10,12 1,066
FIRST 4
5,7,10,12 6,507
QUARTET
5,10,12,7 155,986
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 19.5
A2 —
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
12/5 1,981
12/10 141.5