Sha Tin · 2022-05-01 · 17:47
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAKEWIN 1.10.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 1.6 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | DROPS OF GOD P- K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 6.6 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | WAR WEAPON H/P/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 41.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SHINING GEM B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HARMONY WIN WIN SR/XB H W Lai · D J Whyte | H W Lai | D J Whyte | 12 | 22.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 9 | 43.0 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | MR VALIANT H/XB B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 11 | 14.0 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | COMMANDING MISSILE B1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 8 | 77.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT V-/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 6 | 96.0 | 17-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | RECIPROCATION XB1/TT1 V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 2 | 101.0 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 0 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | — | 13.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | PHOENIX LIGHT H1 A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | — | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SAKEWIN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 3, with DROPS OF GOD second and WAR WEAPON third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAKEWIN | 65.1% | 1.54 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | DROPS OF GOD | 8.3% | 12.12 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 6.3% | 15.91 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 3.9% | 25.38 | — |
| 5 | 0 | MR VALIANT | 3.9% | 25.83 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 3.0% | 32.81 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | WAR WEAPON | 2.8% | 36.11 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 1.6% | 63.91 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | HARMONY WIN WIN | 1.3% | 75.07 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 1.3% | 75.40 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 1.3% | 75.94 | — |
| 12 | 0 | RECIPROCATION | 1.2% | 84.13 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 16
PLACE
1 18
11 23.5
12 11
QUINELLA
1,12 48.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 77
1,12 22.5
11,12 37.5
FORECAST
12,1 63
TIERCE
12,1,11 377
TRIO
1,11,12 105
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 755
QUARTET
12,1,11,7 5,721
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
3/1 51.5
3/12 99
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,7/1,11,12 9,172
SIX UP
2,3/3,11/7,12/5,10/3,7/1,12 13,065
2/11/12/5/3/12 1,198,886
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
5/3/1 899
5/3/12 2,271