Sha Tin · 2022-05-01 · 13:36
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly B-/V1/TT 2.33.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 1.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ENJOYING Led early B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 8.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 5.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ABOVE B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 4 | 11.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-01 was Group 3 over 2400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SENOR TOBA, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with BUTTERFIELD second and ENJOYING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 55.4% | 1.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 18.1% | 5.54 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ENJOYING | 11.1% | 8.98 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 9.5% | 10.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | ABOVE | 5.8% | 17.11 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 16
PLACE
1 18.5
2 12
QUINELLA
1,2 34.5
FORECAST
2,1 46
TIERCE
2,1,3 88
TRIO
1,2,3 41
2ND DOUBLE
10/1 52.5
10/2 113