Sha Tin · 2022-05-01 · 15:06
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. MASSIVE ACTION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with AMAZING VICTORY second and RATTAN KINGDOM third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASSIVE ACTION Wire to wire V 1.23.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 2.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 8 | 9.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | RATTAN KINGDOM Closed strongly H-/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 2 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | NATURAL GOLD Closed strongly SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 6.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | INDIGENOUS REALM Closed strongly TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 71.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | IRON KING Closed strongly TT- H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 9 | 113.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 11.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | DIVINE ERA TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 6 | 19.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | POLARIS WINNER Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 13 | 55.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | GET THE MONIES C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 24.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE B/TT M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 159.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | KING'S TROOPER TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 39.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | BEAUTY NOVA B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 24.0 | 19-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASSIVE ACTION | 26.7% | 3.75 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | NATURAL GOLD | 15.5% | 6.44 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | VOYAGE STAR | 13.2% | 7.59 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY | 10.4% | 9.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | DIVINE ERA | 6.8% | 14.69 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY NOVA | 6.7% | 14.84 | 14 |
| 7 | 10 | YOUNG VICTORY | 5.9% | 16.90 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 4.3% | 23.46 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | GET THE MONIES | 2.6% | 38.10 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | KING'S TROOPER | 2.5% | 39.79 | 13 |
| 11 | 12 | MEDIC ELITE | 1.7% | 57.43 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 1.5% | 68.02 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | POLARIS WINNER | 1.5% | 68.04 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | IRON KING | 0.7% | 138.70 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 21
PLACE
2 11
3 26.5
8 24
QUINELLA
2,3 109
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 45
2,8 47.5
3,8 139
FORECAST
2,3 179
TIERCE
2,3,8 1,130
TRIO
2,3,8 327
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 335
QUARTET
2,3,8,4 5,325
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
2,6/2 55.5
2,6/3 25