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Sha Tin · 2022-05-01 · 15:06

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.23.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MASSIVE ACTION Wire to wire V 1.23.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 1 2.1 2-1/4
2 0 AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho 8 9.4 2-1/4
3 0 RATTAN KINGDOM Closed strongly H-/TT R Maia · R Gibson 2 10.0 4-3/4
4 0 NATURAL GOLD Closed strongly SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 11 6.9 5-1/2
5 0 YOUNG VICTORY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So 5 10.0 6-1/4
6 0 INDIGENOUS REALM Closed strongly TT K C Leung · K L Man 10 71.0 6-3/4
7 0 IRON KING Closed strongly TT- H W Lai · C H Yip 9 113.0 7-1/2
8 0 VOYAGE STAR V/TT A Badel · T P Yung 4 11.0 9
9 0 DIVINE ERA TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 6 19.0 9-1/4
10 0 POLARIS WINNER Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · A T Millard 13 55.0 9-1/2
11 0 GET THE MONIES C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 24.0 9-1/2
12 0 MEDIC ELITE B/TT M F Poon · P O'Sullivan 14 159.0 11-1/4
13 0 KING'S TROOPER TT V Borges · P F Yiu 12 39.0 13-1/4
14 0 BEAUTY NOVA B J Moreira · J Size 7 24.0 19-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. MASSIVE ACTION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with AMAZING VICTORY second and RATTAN KINGDOM third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASSIVE ACTION—2. AMAZING VICTORY+2.25L3. RATTAN KINGDOM+4.75L4. NATURAL GOLD+5.5L5. YOUNG VICTORY+6.25L6. INDIGENOUS REALM+6.75L7. IRON KING+7.5L8. VOYAGE STAR+9L9. DIVINE ERA+9.25L10. POLARIS WINNER+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick MASSIVE ACTION (26.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MASSIVE ACTION 26.7% 3.75 1
2 0 NATURAL GOLD 15.5% 6.44 4
3 0 VOYAGE STAR 13.2% 7.59 8
4 0 AMAZING VICTORY 10.4% 9.65 2
5 0 DIVINE ERA 6.8% 14.69 9
6 0 BEAUTY NOVA 6.7% 14.84 14
7 0 YOUNG VICTORY 5.9% 16.90 5
8 0 RATTAN KINGDOM 4.3% 23.46 3
9 0 GET THE MONIES 2.6% 38.10 11
10 0 KING'S TROOPER 2.5% 39.79 13
11 0 MEDIC ELITE 1.7% 57.43 12
12 0 INDIGENOUS REALM 1.5% 68.02 6
13 0 POLARIS WINNER 1.5% 68.04 10
14 0 IRON KING 0.7% 138.70 7
MASSIVE ACTION — wonNATURAL GOLDVOYAGE STARAMAZING VICTORYDIVINE ERABEAUTY NOVAYOUNG VICTORYRATTAN KINGDOMGET THE MONIESKING'S TROOPERMEDIC ELITEINDIGENOUS REALMPOLARIS WINNERIRON KING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 21

PLACE

2 11

3 26.5

8 24

QUINELLA

2,3 109

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 45

2,8 47.5

3,8 139

FORECAST

2,3 179

TIERCE

2,3,8 1,130

TRIO

2,3,8 327

FIRST 4

2,3,4,8 335

QUARTET

2,3,8,4 5,325

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 16

5TH DOUBLE

2,6/2 55.5

2,6/3 25