Sha Tin · 2022-05-01 · 12:30
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-01 was Griffin over 1000m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT NINE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-3/4, with GLORY BO BO second and YOUNG SPARKLE third. The 1.3 favourite GLORY BO BO finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT NINE H1/TT1 0.57.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | GLORY BO BO B1/TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 1.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | YOUNG SPARKLE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 7 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B1 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 48.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | LUCKY BANNER TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 6.2 | 8-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPERB MOVE R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 1 | 29.0 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | FLYING SILVER TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 5 | 29.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GLORY BO BO | 44.6% | 2.24 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | LUCKY BANNER | 24.5% | 4.08 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | CIRCUIT NINE | 11.1% | 9.02 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPERB MOVE | 7.6% | 13.11 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING SILVER | 6.9% | 14.56 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.3% | 30.47 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 2.1% | 48.76 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 84.5
PLACE
1 18
6 20
7 10.1
QUINELLA
1,7 39
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 54
1,7 18.5
6,7 20.5
FORECAST
1,7 173
TIERCE
1,7,6 593
TRIO
1,6,7 85
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 295
QUARTET
1,7,6,3 5,144
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 29
A1 —