沙田 · 2022-05-22 · 17:48
第 11場
2022-05-22沙田第11場，Class 3，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的FIVE G PATCH勝出，贏出1-3/4。TOTAL POWER獲得亞軍；INTREPID WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH 後段發力 TT 2.02.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 12 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | TOTAL POWER 後段發力 B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 2 | 49.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER 後段發力 B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 11 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ENZEMBLE 早段領放 H/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | NATURAL STORM 後段發力 V M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 13 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES 後段發力 CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 14 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 6 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER OASIS B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SMILING TIME V/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 5 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | ENTRUSTED CP/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | BLASTOISE A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | SUPERBELLA B/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 7 | 6.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | VICTORY PARK B-/V1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 16.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 2 | S J TOURBILLON A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 29.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES | 14.3% | 7.01 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH | 14.0% | 7.13 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER OASIS | 11.8% | 8.45 | 8 |
| 4 | 14 | NATURAL STORM | 8.8% | 11.37 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPERBELLA | 8.4% | 11.91 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 6.8% | 14.75 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | BLASTOISE | 6.5% | 15.28 | 11 |
| 8 | 13 | VICTORY PARK | 5.3% | 18.98 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 5.1% | 19.69 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | ENTRUSTED | 4.5% | 22.45 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | SMILING TIME | 4.4% | 22.75 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | TOTAL POWER | 3.7% | 26.73 | 2 |
| 13 | 2 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.7% | 26.79 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | ENZEMBLE | 2.7% | 37.35 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 42.5
PLACE
5 40
7 19
8 110
QUINELLA
7,8 1,128
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 106.5
5,8 750
7,8 335.5
FORECAST
7,8 2,047
TIERCE
7,8,5 20,789
TRIO
5,7,8 2,861
FIRST 4
5,7,8,9 15,316
QUARTET
7,8,5,9 589,379
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
10/7 504
10/8 1,174.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,12/5,7,8 3,177,117
SIX UP
1,2/3,13/3,7/10,11/1,10/7,8 10,178
1/13/3/10/10/7 73,248
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
10/10/7 1,292
10/10/8 3,879