Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 17:48
Race 11
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. FIVE G PATCH, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-3/4, with TOTAL POWER second and INTREPID WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT 2.02.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 12 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 2 | 49.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 11 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ENZEMBLE Led early H/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly V M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 13 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 14 | 6.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 6 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER OASIS B/H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SMILING TIME V/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 5 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | ENTRUSTED CP/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | BLASTOISE A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | SUPERBELLA B/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 7 | 6.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | VICTORY PARK B-/V1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 16.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 2 | S J TOURBILLON A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 9 | 29.0 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COPARTNER ELITES | 14.3% | 7.01 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH | 14.0% | 7.13 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER OASIS | 11.8% | 8.45 | 8 |
| 4 | 14 | NATURAL STORM | 8.8% | 11.37 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | SUPERBELLA | 8.4% | 11.91 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | INTREPID WINNER | 6.8% | 14.75 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | BLASTOISE | 6.5% | 15.28 | 11 |
| 8 | 13 | VICTORY PARK | 5.3% | 18.98 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 5.1% | 19.69 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | ENTRUSTED | 4.5% | 22.45 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | SMILING TIME | 4.4% | 22.75 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | TOTAL POWER | 3.7% | 26.73 | 2 |
| 13 | 2 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.7% | 26.79 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | ENZEMBLE | 2.7% | 37.35 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 42.5
PLACE
5 40
7 19
8 110
QUINELLA
7,8 1,128
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 106.5
5,8 750
7,8 335.5
FORECAST
7,8 2,047
TIERCE
7,8,5 20,789
TRIO
5,7,8 2,861
FIRST 4
5,7,8,9 15,316
QUARTET
7,8,5,9 589,379
All pools (5 more)
10TH DOUBLE
10/7 504
10/8 1,174.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,12/5,7,8 3,177,117
SIX UP
1,2/3,13/3,7/10,11/1,10/7,8 10,178
1/13/3/10/10/7 73,248
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
10/10/7 1,292
10/10/8 3,879