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Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 15:36

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B 1.22.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P O'Sullivan 2 4.3 1/2
2 0 ETERNAL BLOOM Closed strongly K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 6.4 1/2
3 0 FELIX THE KING Closed strongly CP V Borges · C W Chang 4 45.0 2-1/4
4 0 ROCKPAPERSCISSORS Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 7 25.0 2-1/4
5 0 M M NEBULA CP/TT A Badel · K L Man 9 66.0 2-1/2
6 0 SUCCESS FIGHTER Closed strongly B/H/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 1 61.0 3
6 0 MY INTELLIGENT TT K Teetan · L Ho 13 4.1 3
8 0 GET THE MONIES Closed strongly L Ferraris · K W Lui 11 106.0 3
9 0 JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 5 41.0 4-1/4
10 0 KING OF THE COURT Closed strongly CP/TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So 10 9.7 4-1/2
11 0 KASI FARASI Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C H Yip 14 39.0 8-3/4
12 0 HUNKY DORY B-/TT C Wong · R Gibson 8 195.0 10-1/2
13 0 PLIKCLONE Z Purton · D J Hall 12 5.5 11-1/4
— 0 HARMONY WIN WIN Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 6 7.1 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. STUNNING IMPACT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with ETERNAL BLOOM second and FELIX THE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite MY INTELLIGENT finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STUNNING IMPACT—2. ETERNAL BLOOM+0.5L3. FELIX THE KING+2.25L4. ROCKPAPERSCISSORS+2.25L5. M M NEBULA+2.5L6. SUCCESS FIGHTER+3L6. MY INTELLIGENT+3L8. GET THE MONIES+3L9. JOLLY HONOUR+4.25L10. KING OF THE COURT+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick STUNNING IMPACT (31.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 STUNNING IMPACT 31.9% 3.14 1
2 0 MY INTELLIGENT 17.7% 5.64 6
3 0 ETERNAL BLOOM 13.3% 7.50 2
4 0 PLIKCLONE 10.2% 9.85 13
5 0 JOLLY HONOUR 5.7% 17.40 9
6 0 ROCKPAPERSCISSORS 5.2% 19.28 4
7 0 KING OF THE COURT 5.2% 19.30 10
8 0 KASI FARASI 3.2% 30.87 11
9 0 GET THE MONIES 2.1% 47.54 8
10 0 M M NEBULA 2.0% 50.45 5
11 0 SUCCESS FIGHTER 1.8% 54.13 6
12 0 FELIX THE KING 0.8% 118.84 3
13 0 HUNKY DORY 0.8% 127.62 12
STUNNING IMPACT — wonMY INTELLIGENTETERNAL BLOOMPLIKCLONEJOLLY HONOURROCKPAPERSCISSORSKING OF THE COURTKASI FARASIGET THE MONIESM M NEBULASUCCESS FIGHTERFELIX THE KINGHUNKY DORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 43

PLACE

3 23.5

13 18

14 95.5

QUINELLA

3,13 164

QUINELLA PLACE

3,13 63.5

3,14 641

13,14 274.5

FORECAST

13,3 363

TIERCE

13,3,14 10,395

TRIO

3,13,14 3,617

FIRST 4

3,5,13,14 8,065

QUARTET

13,3,14,5 104,248

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 21

6TH DOUBLE

1/3 36.5

1/13 157

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,5,6/1,2,9/Any Combination 42,327