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Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 15:36

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 13 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. STUNNING IMPACT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with ETERNAL BLOOM second and FELIX THE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite MY INTELLIGENT finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.22.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B 1.22.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P O'Sullivan 2 4.3 1/2
2 3 ETERNAL BLOOM Closed strongly K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 6.4 1/2
3 14 FELIX THE KING Closed strongly CP V Borges · C W Chang 4 45.0 2-1/4
4 5 ROCKPAPERSCISSORS Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 7 25.0 2-1/4
5 6 M M NEBULA CP/TT A Badel · K L Man 9 66.0 2-1/2
6 2 SUCCESS FIGHTER Closed strongly B/H/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 1 61.0 3
6 9 MY INTELLIGENT TT K Teetan · L Ho 13 4.1 3
8 7 GET THE MONIES Closed strongly L Ferraris · K W Lui 11 106.0 3
9 12 JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 5 41.0 4-1/4
10 8 KING OF THE COURT Closed strongly CP/TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So 10 9.7 4-1/2
11 4 KASI FARASI Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C H Yip 14 39.0 8-3/4
12 11 HUNKY DORY B-/TT C Wong · R Gibson 8 195.0 10-1/2
13 10 PLIKCLONE Z Purton · D J Hall 12 5.5 11-1/4
1 HARMONY WIN WIN Led early SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 6 7.1

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STUNNING IMPACT2. ETERNAL BLOOM+0.5L3. FELIX THE KING+2.25L4. ROCKPAPERSCISSORS+2.25L5. M M NEBULA+2.5L6. SUCCESS FIGHTER+3L6. MY INTELLIGENT+3L8. GET THE MONIES+3L9. JOLLY HONOUR+4.25L10. KING OF THE COURT+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick STUNNING IMPACT (31.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 13 STUNNING IMPACT 31.9% 3.14 1
2 9 MY INTELLIGENT 17.7% 5.64 6
3 3 ETERNAL BLOOM 13.3% 7.50 2
4 10 PLIKCLONE 10.2% 9.85 13
5 12 JOLLY HONOUR 5.7% 17.40 9
6 5 ROCKPAPERSCISSORS 5.2% 19.28 4
7 8 KING OF THE COURT 5.2% 19.30 10
8 4 KASI FARASI 3.2% 30.87 11
9 7 GET THE MONIES 2.1% 47.54 8
10 6 M M NEBULA 2.0% 50.45 5
11 2 SUCCESS FIGHTER 1.8% 54.13 6
12 14 FELIX THE KING 0.8% 118.84 3
13 11 HUNKY DORY 0.8% 127.62 12
STUNNING IMPACT — wonMY INTELLIGENTETERNAL BLOOMPLIKCLONEJOLLY HONOURROCKPAPERSCISSORSKING OF THE COURTKASI FARASIGET THE MONIESM M NEBULASUCCESS FIGHTERFELIX THE KINGHUNKY DORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 43

PLACE

3 23.5

13 18

14 95.5

QUINELLA

3,13 164

QUINELLA PLACE

3,13 63.5

3,14 641

13,14 274.5

FORECAST

13,3 363

TIERCE

13,3,14 10,395

TRIO

3,13,14 3,617

FIRST 4

3,5,13,14 8,065

QUARTET

13,3,14,5 104,248

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 21

A2

A3

6TH DOUBLE

1/3 36.5

1/13 157

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,5,6/1,2,9/Any Combination 42,327