Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 16:38
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Group 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CORDYCEPS SIX, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by N, with NERVOUS WITNESS second and LUCKY PATCH third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CORDYCEPS SIX B 1.08.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 6 | 2.5 | N |
| 2 | 11 | NERVOUS WITNESS XB V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 8 | 9.1 | N |
| 3 | 2 | LUCKY PATCH H/V C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 7.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY EXPRESS B/E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER WEALTHY H Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 8.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | COMPUTER PATCH CP/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 3 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | SKY FIELD H1/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | SIGHT SUCCESS E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | DUKE WAI B/H C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HOT KING PRAWN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 14.2% | 7.05 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | SKY FIELD | 12.2% | 8.21 | 7 |
| 3 | 10 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 12.2% | 8.22 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 11.5% | 8.72 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER WEALTHY | 11.1% | 9.04 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | HOT KING PRAWN | 8.9% | 11.19 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | LUCKY PATCH | 8.1% | 12.30 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | COMPUTER PATCH | 7.8% | 12.86 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 6.5% | 15.35 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | DUKE WAI | 3.9% | 25.49 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 3.7% | 27.37 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 25.5
PLACE
2 28.5
10 13.5
11 32.5
QUINELLA
10,11 123.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 50
2,11 133
10,11 53.5
FORECAST
10,11 220
TIERCE
10,11,2 1,410
TRIO
2,10,11 399
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 3,181
QUARTET
10,11,2,7 27,264
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
3/10 99
3/11 117.5
WINNING TRAINER
B2 —
B3 25.5
B1 —
B4 —