Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 16:06
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT 1.22.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET Led early B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RUNNING AHEAD Closed strongly K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 67.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly H1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS V C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 66.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY LIVE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with GOLDEN EMPIRE second and ORIENTAL SMOKE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 42.3% | 2.37 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 28.8% | 3.47 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 7.5% | 13.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 6.6% | 15.05 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 6.0% | 16.79 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.9% | 34.94 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 1.9% | 53.28 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 1.7% | 58.43 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | RUNNING AHEAD | 1.2% | 83.03 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 1.1% | 89.76 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37
PLACE
3 13.5
7 14.5
9 18.5
QUINELLA
3,7 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 24
3,9 38
7,9 35
FORECAST
3,7 124
TIERCE
3,7,9 399
TRIO
3,7,9 88
FIRST 4
3,6,7,9 231
QUARTET
3,7,9,6 2,979
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,13,14/3,7,9 29,518
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
13/3 172
13/7 31.5