Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 15:03
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Group 1 over 2400m, run on GOOD going. RUSSIAN EMPEROR, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-3/4, with KA YING STAR second and SENOR TOBA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly B-/SR2 2.26.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 9 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | KA YING STAR V/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 8 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | PANFIELD TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 4.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ZEBROWSKI TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 7.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | BUTTERFIELD TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | COLUMBUS COUNTY TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | RELIABLE TEAM B-/V2 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 48.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | NORDIC SKY Led early SR/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 68.0 | 38-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SENOR TOBA | 36.5% | 2.74 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 14.6% | 6.83 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 8.6% | 11.63 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | ZEBROWSKI | 8.5% | 11.76 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | NORDIC SKY | 7.4% | 13.44 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | BUTTERFIELD | 6.8% | 14.73 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | PANFIELD | 6.2% | 16.08 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 5.4% | 18.42 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | KA YING STAR | 3.3% | 30.56 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | RELIABLE TEAM | 2.6% | 38.06 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 31
PLACE
1 14
2 47.5
9 18
QUINELLA
1,2 264
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 84.5
1,9 31.5
2,9 138
FORECAST
1,2 473
TIERCE
1,2,9 2,114
TRIO
1,2,9 394
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 765
QUARTET
1,2,9,3 13,889
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 232
5/2 275.5
WINNING TRAINER
B1 —
B4 25
B3 —
B2 —