Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 14:01
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WIDE BLUE YONDER, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with AMAZING VICTORY second and PROSECCO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite AMAZING VICTORY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WIDE BLUE YONDER Closed strongly CP 1.22.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 13 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | PROSECCO Closed strongly A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | AURORA HERO Closed strongly M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | TYCOON JEWELLERY E1/TT1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 8.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | HEARTY WISH SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 7.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 3.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 101.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | QUORUM Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 12 | 77.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLD GOLD BABY Led early B/TT L Currie · K W Lui | L Currie | K W Lui | 6 | 121.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL P C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 10 | 9.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO H T Mo · K L Man | H T Mo | K L Man | 14 | 78.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | TUNG HAYE HAYE B/XB/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 169.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AMAZING VICTORY | 27.2% | 3.67 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | TYCOON JEWELLERY | 19.7% | 5.09 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 12.7% | 7.89 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 9.0% | 11.08 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | PROSECCO | 7.2% | 13.79 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL | 6.2% | 16.23 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | HEARTY WISH | 5.1% | 19.79 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | AURORA HERO | 3.7% | 27.18 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 2.9% | 34.02 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | QUORUM | 1.8% | 54.24 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | BEST FOR YOU | 1.6% | 60.61 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 1.5% | 66.19 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | TUNG HAYE HAYE | 0.8% | 124.86 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 0.5% | 189.03 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 104.5
PLACE
1 36
3 16
6 30
QUINELLA
3,6 226
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 88
1,6 167
3,6 76
FORECAST
6,3 413
TIERCE
6,3,1 3,131
TRIO
1,3,6 489
FIRST 4
1,3,6,10 2,473
QUARTET
6,3,1,10 50,958
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 34.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
12/3 83
12/6 1,303