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Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 14:01

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.61
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER Closed strongly CP 1.22.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D A Hayes 13 10.0 1/2
2 0 AMAZING VICTORY Closed strongly H K Teetan · L Ho 1 3.6 1/2
3 0 PROSECCO Closed strongly A Badel · W Y So 11 11.0 1-1/2
4 0 AURORA HERO Closed strongly M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan 3 33.0 2-1/4
5 0 TYCOON JEWELLERY E1/TT1 J Moreira · J Size 5 8.8 3-1/2
6 0 HEARTY WISH SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 7 7.7 3-3/4
7 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · C W Chang 4 3.6 4-1/4
8 0 MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly L Ferraris · D J Hall 9 101.0 5
9 0 BEST FOR YOU B M F Poon · Y S Tsui 2 19.0 6-1/2
10 0 QUORUM Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · R Gibson 12 77.0 6-3/4
11 0 GOLD GOLD BABY Led early B/TT L Currie · K W Lui 6 121.0 7
13 0 CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO H T Mo · K L Man 14 78.0 8-3/4
14 0 TUNG HAYE HAYE B/XB/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 8 169.0 10-1/2
— 0 SURE JOYFUL P C Y Ho · P F Yiu — 9.0 7-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WIDE BLUE YONDER, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with AMAZING VICTORY second and PROSECCO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite AMAZING VICTORY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WIDE BLUE YONDER—2. AMAZING VICTORY+0.5L3. PROSECCO+1.5L4. AURORA HERO+2.25L5. TYCOON JEWELLERY+3.5L6. HEARTY WISH+3.75L7. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE+4.25L8. MANAGEMENT FOLKS+5L9. BEST FOR YOU+6.5L10. QUORUM+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick AMAZING VICTORY (27.2%) finished 2nd — the winner WIDE BLUE YONDER was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 AMAZING VICTORY 27.2% 3.67 2
2 0 TYCOON JEWELLERY 19.7% 5.09 5
3 0 RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 12.7% 7.89 7
4 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER 9.0% 11.08 1
5 0 PROSECCO 7.2% 13.79 3
6 0 SURE JOYFUL 6.2% 16.23 —
7 0 HEARTY WISH 5.1% 19.79 6
8 0 AURORA HERO 3.7% 27.18 4
9 0 CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO 2.9% 34.02 13
10 0 QUORUM 1.8% 54.24 10
11 0 BEST FOR YOU 1.6% 60.61 9
12 0 GOLD GOLD BABY 1.5% 66.19 11
13 0 TUNG HAYE HAYE 0.8% 124.86 14
14 0 MANAGEMENT FOLKS 0.5% 189.03 8
AMAZING VICTORYTYCOON JEWELLERYRIGHTEOUS DOCTRINEWIDE BLUE YONDER — wonPROSECCOSURE JOYFULHEARTY WISHAURORA HEROCIRCUIT SPIRITANTOQUORUMBEST FOR YOUGOLD GOLD BABYTUNG HAYE HAYEMANAGEMENT FOLKS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 104.5

PLACE

1 36

3 16

6 30

QUINELLA

3,6 226

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 88

1,6 167

3,6 76

FORECAST

6,3 413

TIERCE

6,3,1 3,131

TRIO

1,3,6 489

FIRST 4

1,3,6,10 2,473

QUARTET

6,3,1,10 50,958

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 34.5

A3 —

3RD DOUBLE

12/3 83

12/6 1,303