Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 12:31
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Griffin over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT NINE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with LUCKY BANNER second and YOUNG SPARKLE third. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT NINE H/TT 1.10.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 1.2 | N |
| 2 | 4 | LUCKY BANNER TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 5 | 17.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | YOUNG SPARKLE J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 6 | 5.2 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | OUR PRECIOUS TT1 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPERB MOVE R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 3 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING SILVER CP1/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 3 | JOYFUL CHAMPION H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT NINE | 50.5% | 1.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 35.2% | 2.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY BANNER | 6.1% | 16.30 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | OUR PRECIOUS | 3.4% | 29.42 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPERB MOVE | 2.7% | 37.64 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING SILVER | 2.0% | 49.46 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 12
PLACE
1 10.1
4 43
QUINELLA
1,4 83
- —
FORECAST
1,4 96
TIERCE
1,4,7 129
TRIO
1,4,7 35
FIRST 4
1,4,5,7 31
QUARTET
1,4,7,5 393