Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 13:01
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BUNDLE OF CHARM, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with VICTORY SCHOLARS second and REGENT GLORY third. The 2.4 favourite VICTORY SCHOLARS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM 1.09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | VICTORY SCHOLARS Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 3 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | REGENT GLORY L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 12 | 41.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW SR-/B1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | ALL IS GOOD B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 8 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | EASY SNIP TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 43.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | TRUST ME B/H K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 7 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | STAND UP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 66.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 9 | 95.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | JACK WIN B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 11 | 14.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | GREAT FOR YOU L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 1 | 7.8 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | AEROVERSARY B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 59.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | PRIDE OF DRAGON C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 13 | 34.0 | 15 |
| — | 14 | BELLA BABY A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 28.2% | 3.54 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 21.6% | 4.63 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | STAND UP | 16.7% | 5.97 | 8 |
| 4 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW | 8.5% | 11.76 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | REGENT GLORY | 5.1% | 19.57 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | JACK WIN | 4.3% | 23.49 | 10 |
| 7 | 5 | ALL IS GOOD | 4.0% | 25.09 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 3.7% | 26.94 | 13 |
| 9 | 4 | AEROVERSARY | 2.6% | 38.13 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | GREAT FOR YOU | 2.4% | 41.41 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | TRUST ME | 1.2% | 84.45 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | EASY SNIP | 0.8% | 121.59 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | HAPPY SOUL | 0.8% | 122.73 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 57.5
PLACE
1 12
6 19.5
12 69.5
QUINELLA
1,6 63.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 31.5
1,12 169.5
6,12 275
FORECAST
6,1 189
TIERCE
6,1,12 3,699
TRIO
1,6,12 766
FIRST 4
1,6,11,12 859
QUARTET
6,1,12,11 23,304
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/1,14 10.5
1/6 65
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A2 —
A3 —