Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 17:13

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H/P1/TT- 1.35.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 10.0 1/2
2 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor 11 12.0 1/2
3 0 POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu 9 10.0 1/2
4 0 BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H Z Purton · J Size 8 5.0 1-1/2
5 0 ROYAL BOMB CP/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 6 3.8 3-1/4
6 0 MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D J Hall 12 5.5 3-1/2
7 0 CLASSIC ARCHI B L Hewitson · D J Whyte 5 65.0 4-1/4
8 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 2 40.0 5
9 0 PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly CP H Bentley · K H Ting 10 87.0 5
10 0 LEADING FORTUNE B A Badel · J Size 1 7.3 6-1/2
11 0 RISE BRETHREN TT K Teetan · C S Shum 7 12.0 7-1/4
12 0 SMOOTHIES B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum 4 31.0 11

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PRECISE EXPRESS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with ALL FOR ST PAUL'S second and POWERFUL WINGS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite ROYAL BOMB finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRECISE EXPRESS—2. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S+0.5L3. POWERFUL WINGS+0.5L4. BOURBONAIRE+1.5L5. ROYAL BOMB+3.25L6. MALDIVES+3.5L7. CLASSIC ARCHI+4.25L8. HELENE WISDOM STAR+5L9. PEGASUS GENERAL+5L10. LEADING FORTUNE+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ROYAL BOMB (25.1%) finished 5th — the winner PRECISE EXPRESS was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ROYAL BOMB 25.1% 3.99 5
2 0 BOURBONAIRE 16.9% 5.90 4
3 0 LEADING FORTUNE 12.4% 8.05 10
4 0 RISE BRETHREN 12.3% 8.13 11
5 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 8.7% 11.50 1
6 0 MALDIVES 8.1% 12.42 6
7 0 ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 5.4% 18.37 2
8 0 POWERFUL WINGS 3.2% 31.68 3
9 0 SMOOTHIES 2.9% 34.15 12
10 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR 2.1% 46.53 8
11 0 PEGASUS GENERAL 1.5% 66.63 9
12 0 CLASSIC ARCHI 1.3% 74.30 7
ROYAL BOMBBOURBONAIRELEADING FORTUNERISE BRETHRENPRECISE EXPRESS — wonMALDIVESALL FOR ST PAUL'SPOWERFUL WINGSSMOOTHIESHELENE WISDOM STARPEGASUS GENERALCLASSIC ARCHI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 101

PLACE

1 40.5

10 30

12 32

QUINELLA

1,10 826

QUINELLA PLACE

1,10 185.5

1,12 253.5

10,12 112

FORECAST

10,1 1,403

TIERCE

10,1,12 10,284

TRIO

1,10,12 2,482

FIRST 4

1,3,10,12 2,801

QUARTET

10,1,12,3 86,048

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 23

A3 —

9TH DOUBLE

10/1 117

10/10 311.5