Sha Tin · 2022-05-22 · 17:13
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-22 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PRECISE EXPRESS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with ALL FOR ST PAUL'S second and POWERFUL WINGS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite ROYAL BOMB finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H/P1/TT- 1.35.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | BOURBONAIRE Closed strongly H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | ROYAL BOMB CP/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 3.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 12 | 5.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | CLASSIC ARCHI B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 65.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | HELENE WISDOM STAR CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 2 | 40.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 87.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 7.3 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | RISE BRETHREN TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SMOOTHIES B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 4 | 31.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROYAL BOMB | 25.1% | 3.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | BOURBONAIRE | 16.9% | 5.90 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | LEADING FORTUNE | 12.4% | 8.05 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | RISE BRETHREN | 12.3% | 8.13 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 8.7% | 11.50 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | MALDIVES | 8.1% | 12.42 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 5.4% | 18.37 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | POWERFUL WINGS | 3.2% | 31.68 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | SMOOTHIES | 2.9% | 34.15 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 2.1% | 46.53 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 1.5% | 66.63 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 1.3% | 74.30 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 101
PLACE
1 40.5
10 30
12 32
QUINELLA
1,10 826
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 185.5
1,12 253.5
10,12 112
FORECAST
10,1 1,403
TIERCE
10,1,12 10,284
TRIO
1,10,12 2,482
FIRST 4
1,3,10,12 2,801
QUARTET
10,1,12,3 86,048
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23
A1 —
9TH DOUBLE
10/1 117
10/10 311.5